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RacingAlpha

16:30 Punchestown

Ireland

Matchbook Betting Exchange Steeplechase (Grade 3)

2m7f · Chase · Class 1 · Good · 4 runners · €33,000 · Wednesday, 14 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Gorgeous Tom (IRE)
    Darragh O'Keeffe·Henry de Bromhead
    4/6F·1.67
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Croke Park (IRE)
    Jack Kennedy·Gordon Elliott·beaten 22 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Apple's Of Bresil (FR)AI top pick · 83.0
    Sean Flanagan·Barry Connell·beaten 2 lengths
    100/30·4.33
    SP
Race time
5m 58.80s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Gorgeous Tom (IRE))

“Went on with a rival for the front spot - in front by the 5th - bounded away turning in - kept going powerfully to win - slowed down in the final 50 yards”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Croke Park

Croke Park gets the nod at Punchestown, rated 152 on our figures and narrowly ahead of Gorgeous Tom on 150, a gap of just two pounds that still gives us the edge in a Class 1 contest over 23 furlongs on good ground. Gorgeous Tom is clearly the main danger and could easily reverse the placings, while Apple's Of Bresil on 125 and Smallcraftwarning on 104 look to have plenty to find on our figures. This is a tight call at the top, so confidence is low, but Croke Park's slight superiority is enough to make him the pick, and our selection is Croke Park.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Apple's Of Bresil

Sean Flanagan · Barry Connell · 8yo

Top-rated of 4
score 83.0 · +11.5 clear of next best (71.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    24d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    85very strong
    OR 128
  • Trainer20% weight
    83small sample (n=3)
    Barry Connell: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    69strong
    Last 6: 2-0-1-2
MarketBest price 5.50 (10 Bet) · 3rd in the market of 4.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
8yo · G · b
24503
15271.4
4/6F·1.67
SP
22
J: Jack Kennedy · T: Gordon Elliott · draw 0
8yo · G · bp
33300
14866.6
7/2·4.50
SP
31
J: Sean Flanagan · T: Barry Connell · draw 0
8yo · G · gt
2012
12883.0
100/30·4.33
SP
F4
J: Daniel King · T: John Patrick Ryan · draw 0
9yo · G · bt
134112
10062.3
40/1·41.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:30 Punchestown on 14 October 2026?

Gorgeous Tom (IRE) won the 16:30 Punchestown at SP 1.67. Ridden by Darragh O'Keeffe. Trained by Henry de Bromhead.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:30 Punchestown?

No — the AI top pick (Apple's Of Bresil) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 16:30 Punchestown?

Top finishers: 1. Gorgeous Tom (IRE) (1.67), 2. Croke Park (IRE) (4.50), 3. Apple's Of Bresil (FR) (4.33).

What was the winning time for the 16:30 Punchestown?

The winning time was 5m 58.80s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org