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13:44 Fontwell

BETTING.BET Free Racing Tips Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race

2m3f · Hurdle · Class 4 · 5 runners · £5,281 · Thursday, 15 October 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 3 · score 70.4 · +0.3 clear of next best · best 7/4·2.80
Best value vs consensus
28/1·29.00 Bet365 · +16% vs fair (consensus 24.99)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: GoodwinDiffers from our pick

Goodwin is the call at Fontwell, and on our figures he is the one to beat, with a PR of 127 putting him 8 lb ahead of Moab, who is next best on 119. That is a meaningful edge rather than a gulf, but it is enough to make him the logical choice in a five-runner Class 4 over 19 furlongs. Moab is the main danger, with Crooked Path (115) and Motazzen (112) also needing respect if Goodwin fails to run to his best, though confidence is only low. Goodwin gets the nod.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Crooked Path

Callum Pritchard · James Owen · 4yo

Top-rated of 5
score 70.4 · +0.3 clear of next best (70.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    19d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    76strong
    OR 114
  • Form20% weight
    72strong
    Last 6: 2-3-3-1-3
  • Trainer20% weight
    40below average
    James Owen: 8/49 winners last 14d (16%)
MarketBest price 2.80 (SmarketsSBK) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
3
J: Callum Pritchard · T: James Owen · draw 0
4yo · G · chClass dropOnly runner
23313
11470.415/8·2.839/5·2.80
SmarketsSBK
Compare 28 books ▾
2
8yo · G · btpC&DOnly ride
84311
11270.14/1·4.767/2·4.50
Bet365 · -5% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
4
J: H. J. Horgan · T: Henrietta C Knight · draw 0
6yo · G · bOn last winning markC&DOnly ride
22431
11068.54/1·4.763/1·4.00
Midnite · -16% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
5
J: Roisin Leech(10) · T: Sophie Leech · draw 0 · combo 0/6 (0%)
7yo · G · bhFT HOnly rideOnly runner
3F26
10059.825/1·24.9928/1·29.00
Bet365 · +16% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
1
J: Fern O'Brien · T: Chris Gordon · draw 0
8yo · G · bpOnly rideOnly runner
04813
12258.19/2·5.365.1·5.10
Matchbook · -5% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27–28 bookmakers per horse with the 19% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the BETTING.BET Free Racing Tips Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race?

The BETTING.BET Free Racing Tips Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race is off at 13:44 on 15 October 2026 at Fontwell (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 13:44 Fontwell?

2m3f, Class 4, Hurdle, 5 runners declared.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 13:44 Fontwell?

The AI top-rated runner is Crooked Path (score 70.4, best price 2.80). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 13:44 Fontwell?

The market favourite is Crooked Path at a best price of 2.80.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org