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Chelmsford (AW)
Great Britain
Races synced
20
lifetime here
Settled
0
with result data
Fav strike
—
no settled yet
Today
0
races
Going profile
- Abandoned20
Share of races in our sample run on each official going.
Draw & run-style bias at Chelmsford (AW)
Methodology & all courses →5-6f · 282 races · field avg win 10.4%
Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24)
| Draw | Win % | Top-3 % | IV | A/E | PRB | Runs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low (inside) | 13% 128 wins | 20.3% | 1.24 vs course avg | 1.14 vs market | 68.8% | 985 |
| Middle | 10.4% 84 wins | 14.9% | 1.00 vs course avg | 0.94 vs market | 60% | 807 |
| High (outside) | 7.7% 69 wins | 13.9% | 0.73 vs course avg | 0.84 vs market | 61% | 900 |
Run style at this trip · from in-running comments
| Early position | Win % | IV | A/E | Runs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Led | 39.7% 73 wins | 3.80 vs course avg | 2.06 | 184 |
| Prominent | 4.9% 6 wins | 0.47 vs course avg | 0.49 | 122 |
| Midfield | 2.6% 6 wins | 0.25 vs course avg | 0.44 | 227 |
| Held up | 1.6% 4 wins | 0.16 vs course avg | 0.11 | 247 |
7-8f · 348 races · field avg win 9.8%
Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.11)
| Draw | Win % | Top-3 % | IV | A/E | PRB | Runs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low (inside) | 10.9% 141 wins | 17.2% | 1.11 vs course avg | 0.94 vs market | 64.7% | 1296 |
| Middle | 10.9% 116 wins | 16.8% | 1.11 vs course avg | 1.14 vs market | 65.7% | 1063 |
| High (outside) | 7.7% 90 wins | 12.9% | 0.78 vs course avg | 0.94 vs market | 58% | 1167 |
Run style at this trip · from in-running comments
| Early position | Win % | IV | A/E | Runs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Led | 37.9% 85 wins | 3.86 vs course avg | 2.23 | 224 |
| Prominent | 5.7% 9 wins | 0.58 vs course avg | 0.35 | 157 |
| Midfield | 4.8% 15 wins | 0.49 vs course avg | 0.41 | 310 |
| Held up | 1% 3 wins | 0.10 vs course avg | 0.09 | 307 |
9-12f · 164 races · field avg win 10.1%
Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.28)
| Draw | Win % | Top-3 % | IV | A/E | PRB | Runs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low (inside) | 12.9% 77 wins | 18.7% | 1.28 vs course avg | 1.38 vs market | 68.6% | 595 |
| Middle | 9.4% 46 wins | 15.1% | 0.93 vs course avg | 0.80 vs market | 63.6% | 491 |
| High (outside) | 7.6% 41 wins | 13.2% | 0.75 vs course avg | 0.71 vs market | 59.2% | 538 |
Run style at this trip · from in-running comments
| Early position | Win % | IV | A/E | Runs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Led | 30.1% 34 wins | 2.98 vs course avg | 1.68 | 113 |
| Prominent | 3.3% 2 wins | 0.32 vs course avg | 0.45 | 61 |
| Midfield | 6.8% 8 wins | 0.67 vs course avg | 0.86 | 118 |
| Held up | 2.4% 3 wins | 0.24 vs course avg | 0.27 | 125 |
13f+ · 71 races · field avg win 11.3%
No meaningful draw bias
| Draw | Win % | Top-3 % | IV | A/E | PRB | Runs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Low (inside) | 12.2% 29 wins | 20.3% | 1.08 vs course avg | 0.68 vs market | 68.7% | 237 |
| Middle | 10.3% 19 wins | 15.1% | 0.91 vs course avg | 1.35 vs market | 62.7% | 185 |
| High (outside) | 11.1% 23 wins | 16.9% | 0.98 vs course avg | 1.11 vs market | 68.9% | 207 |
Run style at this trip · from in-running comments
| Early position | Win % | IV | A/E | Runs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Led | 30.8% 16 wins | 2.73 vs course avg | 1.71 | 52 |
| Prominent | 8.3% 2 wins | 0.74 vs course avg | 0.92 | 24 |
| Midfield | 5.1% 2 wins | 0.45 vs course avg | 0.49 | 39 |
| Held up | 0% 0 wins | 0.00 vs course avg | 0.00 | 45 |
Three years of GB+IRE flat results, fields of 6+. IV compares each stall third with the course average; A/E compares actual wins with what the Betfair market expected — a bias can be real and still fully priced in.
Recent races at Chelmsford (AW) (20)
Course stats are computed from races synced into Racing Alpha; the sample grows with our history. Favourite-strike rate is calculated from the lowest-priced runner per settled race. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org