Who won the 14:30 Ascot on 16 June 2026?
Ten Bob Tony (IRE) won the 14:30 Ascot at SP 51.00. Ridden by Kieran Shoemark. Trained by Ed Walker.
14:30 Ascot
FeatureQueen Anne Stakes (Group 1)
1m · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 9 runners · £453,680 · Tuesday, 16 June 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stTen Bob Tony (IRE)Kieran Shoemark·Ed Walker50/1·51.00SP
- 2ndMore Thunder (IRE)Tom Marquand·William Haggas·beaten .5 lengths7/2·4.50SP
- 3rdOpera Ballo (IRE)AI top pick · 87.6Billy Loughnane·Charlie Appleby·beaten 0.2 lengths7/2·4.50SP
Race time
1m 37.53s−1.37s vs std
Faster than standard — genuine race tempo.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Notable Speech
Notable Speech arrives here as a five-time Group 1 winner whose devastating turn of foot when routing this field's principals at Newbury marks him as the one they all have to beat. William Buick's decision to stick with him over his stablemate Opera Ballo speaks volumes, and though his Ascot record has been a minor talking point, he is emphatically better placed now than when fourth here twelve months ago. Opera Ballo is a genuine threat — a top-level winner on both sides of winter who may have held a fitness edge last time out — while the progressive More Thunder could close the gap if produced with more urgency. **Notable Speech** to confirm Newbury superiority.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Opera Ballo
Billy Loughnane · Charlie Appleby · 4yo
Top-rated of 9
score 87.6 · +2.6 clear of next best (84.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight97very strongLast 6: 1-2-1-1-1
- Trainer20% weight90very strongCharlie Appleby: 4/11 winners last 14d (36%)
- Freshness10% weight85very strong53d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight83very strongOR 125 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ascot 1m
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).
Low (1–3)
IV 0.87
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.98
High (7–9)
IV 1.16
Today: Opera Ballo (draw 7) and More Thunder (draw 9) get the bias; Notable Speech (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 130 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 8 5yo · G · ch | 30481 | 112 | 64.6 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 9 5yo · H · b | 21142 | 121 | 74.6 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 7 4yo · C · bh | 12111 | 125 | 87.6 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 4 | 9 | J: Clifford Lee · T: K R Burke · draw 5 4yo · C · ch | 11133 | 120 | 74.2 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: James Doyle · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 3 4yo · C · ch | 01116 | 119 | 72.5 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: William Buick · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 1 5yo · H · ch | 21141 | 125 | 84.9 | 9/4F·3.25 SP |
| 7 | 3 | J: Mark Zahra · T: Harry Eustace · draw 4 6yo · H · bt | 49413 | 118 | 68.2 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: Jason Watson · T: Charles Hills · draw 6 6yo · G · b | 21147 | 118 | 67.4 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 9 | 4 | J: Ryan Moore · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 2 5yo · G · b | 33433 | 111 | 72.9 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:30 Ascot?
No — the AI top pick (Opera Ballo) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 14:30 Ascot?
Top finishers: 1. Ten Bob Tony (IRE) (51.00), 2. More Thunder (IRE) (4.50), 3. Opera Ballo (IRE) (4.50).
What was the winning time for the 14:30 Ascot?
The winning time was 1m 37.53s, 1.37s faster than standard.
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