18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

16:20 Ascot

Feature

St James's Palace Stakes (Group 1) (Colts)

1m · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £396,970 · Tuesday, 16 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Bow Echo (IRE)
    Billy Loughnane·George Boughey
    5/6F·1.83
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Gstaad (GB)
    Ryan Moore·A P O'Brien·beaten 0.1 lengths
    2/1·3.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Talk Of New York (GB)AI top pick · 83.7
    William Buick·Charlie Appleby·beaten 1.75 lengths
    11/2·6.50
    SP
Race time
1m 38.48s−0.72s vs std

Faster than standard — genuine race tempo.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Bow Echo

Bow Echo looked the most impressive winner of the season's opening Classic and fast ground at Ascot should suit him down to the ground as he bids to extend his unbeaten record. Gstaad franked the form admirably by landing the Irish equivalent and will press hardest, while Puerto Rico — a fellow Group 1 winner — shaped with promise on his comeback despite looking as though he'd benefit from softer conditions. Talk Of New York is the wildcard having demolished Listed company last time, but stepping up to this level demands a significant leap. **Bow Echo** to come out on top.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Talk Of New York

William Buick · Charlie Appleby · 3yo

Top-rated of 6
score 83.7 · +4.3 clear of next best (79.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    19d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    92very strong
    Last 6: 1-3-1-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    90very strong
    Charlie Appleby: 4/11 winners last 14d (36%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    75strong
    OR 112
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ascot 1m

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–2)
IV 0.87
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.98
High (5–6)
IV 1.16

Today: Power Blue (draw 5) and Lord Britain (draw 6) get the bias; Gstaad (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 130 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
Bow Echo
J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 2
3yo · C · b
1111
12670.5
5/6F·1.83
SP
22
Gstaad
J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 1
3yo · C · b
22121
12079.5
2/1·3.00
SP
36
Talk Of New York
J: William Buick · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 3
3yo · C · bh
1311
11283.7
11/2·6.50
SP
44
Power Blue
J: David Egan · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 5
3yo · C · b
31274
10965.2
50/1·51.00
SP
53
Lord Britain
J: Benoit De La Sayette · T: Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos · draw 6
3yo · C · bt
38401
8848.9
100/1·101.00
SP
65
Puerto Rico
J: Christophe Soumillon · T: A P O'Brien · draw 4
3yo · C · b/br
41114
11874.9
16/1·17.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:20 Ascot on 16 June 2026?

Bow Echo (IRE) won the 16:20 Ascot at SP 1.83. Ridden by Billy Loughnane. Trained by George Boughey.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:20 Ascot?

No — the AI top pick (Talk Of New York) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 16:20 Ascot?

Top finishers: 1. Bow Echo (IRE) (1.83), 2. Gstaad (GB) (3.00), 3. Talk Of New York (GB) (6.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:20 Ascot?

The winning time was 1m 38.48s, 0.72s faster than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org