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2:50

Nottingham

Great Britain

Family Fun Raceday Sunday 31st May Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

Tuesday, 19 May 2026

1m2f·Flat·Class 3·Good To Soft·10 runners·£6,480
Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 3.00
  1. 1st
    Knights Charge (IRE)AI top pick · 63.7
    Ray Dawson·Roger Varian
    3.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Bay Royale (GB)
    Pierre-Louis Jamin·Harry Eustace·beaten 1.5 lengths
    1.83
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Outflank (IRE)
    Luke Catton·John & Thady Gosden·beaten 3.25 lengths
    6.50
    SP
Race time
2m 14.68s+8.08s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Knights Charge (IRE))

Prominent - pushed along over 2f out - led narrowly over 1f out - reminder and ran on well inside final furlong - won going away

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Selections by model

Head-to-head dashboard →
v1.063.7/100 rating
Knights Charge
3.90Betfair Exchange· informational only

Top-rated, but filter rejects this race

v1.1
No pick

Race outside the segment-edge filter

Each-way61.5/100 rating
Outflank
8.80Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Knights Charge

Ray Dawson · Roger Varian · 3yo

63.7/100
+2.2 vs next best (61.5)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    87very strong
    Last 6: 3-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    55average
    Roger Varian: 4/18 winners last 14d (22%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    51average
    RPR 76 — above field median
MarketBest price 3.90 (Betfair Exchange) — 2nd favourite. AI sees slight value vs consensus.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners

Pos#DrHorseJockey / TrainerFormWtORRPRTSAISP
6110
4yo · G · b
10-0235.0
11/2
SP
527
5yo · G · b
10-0218.5
40/1
SP
1038
4yo · F · b
43
9-116856.2
125/1
SP
745
4yo · F · b
5
9-116838.7
125/1
SP
251
3yo · C · ch
41
9-09784255.8
5/6F
SP
169
3yo · C · b
31
9-097663.7
2/1
SP
872
3yo · C · ch
77
9-02623526.2
150/1
SP
484
3yo · G · b
6
9-02591326.0
80/1
SP
31011
3yo · G · b
33
9-02826561.5
11/2
SP
9116
3yo · G · b
9-0215.0
200/1
SP
3
3yo · C · b
25
9-028049.9

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 2:50 Nottingham on 19 May 2026?

Knights Charge (IRE) won the 2:50 Nottingham at SP 3.00. Ridden by Ray Dawson. Trained by Roger Varian.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 2:50 Nottingham?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Knights Charge, won the race (AI score 63.7).

What were the placings in the 2:50 Nottingham?

Top finishers: 1. Knights Charge (IRE) (3.00), 2. Bay Royale (GB) (1.83), 3. Outflank (IRE) (6.50).

What was the winning time for the 2:50 Nottingham?

The winning time was 2m 14.68s, 8.08s slower than standard.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

There isn't much between the main contenders on the figures. BAY ROYALE brings the bonus of having course form.

Racing Post pick: Bay Royale

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Betting forecast

Formbook

7/4 Bay Royale, 15/8 Knights Charge, 9/2 Cloud Forest, Outflank, 25/1 Liam Mera Kai, 40/1 Semele, 50/1 Shopaholic, 66/1 Cliff Danger, Zurna, 100/1 Barak Warrior

Formbook's pre-race odds estimate — not market prices.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org