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Next · 25m19:30Wolverhampton (AW)

£9 Racedays At Nottingham Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

1m½f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 11 runners · £5,400 · Tuesday, 19 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Moreedd (GB)
    Ray Dawson·Roger Varian
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Lucky Camino (IRE)
    Kieran Shoemark·Hugo Palmer·beaten 0.3 lengths
    28/1·29.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Atlas Mountain (IRE)
    Rossa Ryan·Alan King·beaten 0.2 lengths
    20/1·21.00
    SP
Race time
1m 48.95s+8.85s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Moreedd (GB))

Raced wide - prominent - edged left and hampered rivals 5f out - pushed along and pressed leader over 2f out - hung left and ridden over 1f out - led and kept on final 110yds - just held on

AI top-rated Runman (score 72.3) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Adamlyi

Solid-looking ADAMLYI may take advantage of the stone he receives from main form rival Runman who is nevertheless respected.

Forecast 11/8 Adamlyi, 13/8 Runman, 6/1 Moreedd, 14/1 Atlas Mountain, 16/1 Lean d'Aislingean, Lucky Camino, 25/1 Revelio, 33/1 Mr Bollinger, 40/1 Peace And Quiet, 66/1 Carly Minogue, 100/1 Florizelle

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Runman

Oisin Murphy · John & Thady Gosden · 3yo

Top-rated of 11
score 72.3 · +10.8 clear of next best (61.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    100very strong
    Last 6: 1-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    75strong
    John & Thady Gosden: 9/30 winners last 14d (30%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    55average
    OR 90 · RPR 82 · TS 74 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Nottingham 1m½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 0.91
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.99
High (9–11)
IV 1.11

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 196 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
19
J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 10
3yo · C · ch
4
48.8
5/1·6.00
SP
28
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 2
3yo · C · b
24.0
28/1·29.00
SP
36
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Alan King · draw 11
3yo · G · b
70
38.8
20/1·21.00
SP
41
3yo · C · b
11
9072.3
6/4·2.50
SP
55
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 5
3yo · C · gr
52
61.6
11/10F·2.10
SP
611
3yo · F · b
5
23.2
300/1·301.00
SP
72
J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Jack Jones · draw 4
4yo · G · ch
15.0
200/1·201.00
SP
810
J: Ross Coakley · T: Michael Bell · draw 9
3yo · G · ch
64
41.0
100/1·101.00
SP
97
J: Hector Crouch · T: Charlie Pike · draw 1
3yo · C · b
15.0
14/1·15.00
SP
103
J: David Egan · T: Tom Clover · draw 8
4yo · G · b
69
39.3
80/1·81.00
SP
114
J: Jack Garritty · T: Mark Walford · draw 7
5yo · M · b
36
29.0
200/1·201.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:20 Nottingham on 19 May 2026?

Moreedd (GB) won the 14:20 Nottingham at SP 6.00. Ridden by Ray Dawson. Trained by Roger Varian.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:20 Nottingham?

No — the AI top pick (Runman) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 14:20 Nottingham?

Top finishers: 1. Moreedd (GB) (6.00), 2. Lucky Camino (IRE) (29.00), 3. Atlas Mountain (IRE) (21.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:20 Nottingham?

The winning time was 1m 48.95s, 8.85s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org