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RacingAlpha

16:10 Carlisle

andersonslimited.co.uk Handicap

1m3f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 7 runners · £3,402 · Friday, 29 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 11/10F·2.10
  1. 1st
    Alpine Sierra (IRE)AI top pick · 55.8
    Lauren Young·Jim Goldie
    11/10F·2.10
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Naturalia (GB)
    Shay Farmer·Donald Whillans·beaten 1.5 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Taylormade Lad (IRE)
    Connor Beasley·Michael Dods·beaten 0.3 lengths
    11/4·3.75
    SP
Race time
2m 27.15s+4.75s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Alpine Sierra (IRE))

“Made all - going best over 2f out - ridden and faced challenge over 1f out - kept on well inside final furlong”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.10 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Alpine Sierra

The 8yo ALPINE SIERRA arrives in rude health and is taken to defy a penalty and complete a hat-trick. Naturalia is second choice.

Forecast 6/5 Alpine Sierra, 3/1 Taylormade Lad, 6/1 Naturalia, 7/1 Fallons First, 9/1 Sweet Kiss, 14/1 Ravenscraig Castle, 20/1 Himself

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Alpine Sierra

Lauren Young(5) · Jim Goldie · 8yo

Top-rated of 7
score 55.8 · +6.7 clear of next best (49.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    86very strong
    Last 6: 2-2-2-3-1-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    8d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    45below average
    OR 62 · RPR 77 · TS 64
  • Trainer20% weight
    45below average
    Jim Goldie: 8/44 winners last 14d (18%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Carlisle 1m3f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.31).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.31
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.89
High (6–7)
IV 0.75

Today: Alpine Sierra (draw 2) and Himself (draw 3) get the bias; Taylormade Lad (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 52 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
Alpine Sierra
J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 2
8yo · G · br
222311
6255.8
11/10F·2.10
SP
26
Naturalia
J: Shay Farmer(7) · T: Donald Whillans · draw 7
5yo · M · b
90296
6037.2
5/1·6.00
SP
31
Taylormade Lad
J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 6
4yo · G · bp
51293
6449.1
11/4·3.75
SP
42
Sweet Kiss
J: Jake Dickson(7) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5
4yo · F · b
14279
6440.2
10/1·11.00
SP
54
Ravenscraig Castle
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 1
8yo · G · gr
2648
6136.2
12/1·13.00
SP
65
Himself
J: Aiden Brookes · T: Philip Kirby · draw 3
4yo · G · b
11158
6039.7
50/1·51.00
SP
PU7
Fallons First
J: Jack Nicholls(5) · T: K R Burke · draw 4
4yo · F · b
05447
5845.7
18/1·19.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:10 Carlisle on 29 May 2026?

Alpine Sierra (IRE) won the 16:10 Carlisle at SP 2.10. Ridden by Lauren Young. Trained by Jim Goldie.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:10 Carlisle?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Alpine Sierra, won the race (AI score 55.8).

What were the placings in the 16:10 Carlisle?

Top finishers: 1. Alpine Sierra (IRE) (2.10), 2. Naturalia (GB) (6.00), 3. Taylormade Lad (IRE) (3.75).

What was the winning time for the 16:10 Carlisle?

The winning time was 2m 27.15s, 4.75s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org