Who won the 15:10 Carlisle on 29 May 2026?
Pop Star (IRE) won the 15:10 Carlisle at SP 6.50. Ridden by Andrew Mullen. Trained by Iain Jardine.
15:10 Carlisle
Andersons - Quality For The Home Handicap
5f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 10 runners · £3,402 · Friday, 29 May 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 10thRace report
- 1stPop Star (IRE)Andrew Mullen·Iain Jardine11/2·6.50SP
- 2ndWee Mary (IRE)Lauren Young·Jim Goldie·beaten 1 length4/1·5.00SP
- 3rdMidnight Lir (IRE)Connor Beasley·Michael Dods·beaten 0.2 lengths12/1·13.00SP
Race time
1m 1.28s+1.58s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (Pop Star (IRE))
“Towards rear - headway from 2f out - pushed along to lead inside final furlong - kept on well final 110yds - comfortably”
AI top-rated Dandy Dinmont (score 53.2) finished 10th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Lindoro
Preference is for handicap newcomer, LINDORO, whose pedigree hints that he could relish the drop to 5f. Get Up Everybody is feared.
Forecast 11/4 Dandy Dinmont, 4/1 Get Up Everybody, 5/1 Wee Mary, 7/1 Lindoro, 9/1 Midnight Lir, 12/1 Komorkis, Digital, Albegone, Ski Angel, 14/1 Pop Star
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Dandy Dinmont
Faye McManoman · Nigel Tinkler · 7yo
Top-rated of 10
score 53.2 · +7.8 clear of next best (45.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong17d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight58averageNigel Tinkler: 6/26 winners last 14d (23%)
- Ratings50% weight45below averageOR 64 · RPR 79 · TS 61 — above field median
- Form20% weight45below averageLast 6: 5-0-5-7-1
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Carlisle 5f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.99
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.10
High (8–10)
IV 0.91
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 99 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 8 6yo · G · bt | 790000 | 64 | 30.8 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 2 | 9 | J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 4 4yo · F · bh | 773344 | 48 | 45.5 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 2 5yo · G · btbFT TB | 82609 | 61 | 42.0 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Cian Horgan(5) · T: Lawrence Mullaney · draw 5 4yo · F · ch | 51046 | 65 | 38.3 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 5 | 8 | J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7 8yo · G · bp | 042080 | 61 | 36.5 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 6 | 10 | J: Cam Hardie · T: R Mike Smith · draw 9 6yo · M · b | 15945 | 47 | 37.3 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: David Nolan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 10 4yo · G · bpFT P | 28334 | 61 | 44.6 | 5/2F·3.50 SP |
| 8 | 5 | J: Oliver Stammers · T: Stephen Hanlon · draw 6 4yo · G · b | 648 | 62 | 31.3 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 9 | 4 | J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 1 8yo · G · bp | 129790 | 62 | 33.5 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 10 | 2 | J: Faye McManoman · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 3 7yo · G · b | 50571 | 64 | 53.2 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:10 Carlisle?
No — the AI top pick (Dandy Dinmont) finished 10.
What were the placings in the 15:10 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. Pop Star (IRE) (6.50), 2. Wee Mary (IRE) (5.00), 3. Midnight Lir (IRE) (13.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:10 Carlisle?
The winning time was 1m 1.28s, 1.58s slower than standard.
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