Who won the 14:20 Nottingham on 31 May 2026?
Bated Benevolence (GB) won the 14:20 Nottingham at SP 7.50. Ridden by Marco Ghiani. Trained by Marco Botti.
14:20 Nottingham
Bear's Big Birthday EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (Bands C/D) (EBF Restricted Qualifier) (GBB Race)
6f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 11 runners · £4,320 · Sunday, 31 May 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stBated Benevolence (GB)Marco Ghiani·Marco Botti13/2·7.50SP
- 2ndHarley (IRE)Jack Callan·Edward Bethell·beaten 1.5 lengths9/1·10.00SP
- 3rdRegal Chita (IRE)Cieren Fallon·James Owen·beaten 0.3 lengths5/4F·2.25SP
Race time
1m 14.51s+3.51s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
In-running (Bated Benevolence (GB))
“Midfield - in touch with leaders over 1f out - headway to lead inside final furlong - kept on”
AI top-rated Thunda Struck (score 50.4) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 14.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Regal Chita
Harley and REGAL CHITA both showed promise on their respective debuts and the latter can take a good step forward today.
Forecast 13/8 Regal Chita, 9/2 Grayrobin, 11/2 Treasurer, Thunda Struck, 12/1 Bated Benevolence, Poppy Foxy, 14/1 Harley, 20/1 Whiskey Bent, Zohar, 25/1 Big Bad Storm, 50/1 Carry On Chaos
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Thunda Struck
Laura Pearson · David Loughnane · 2yo
Top-rated of 11
score 50.4 · +1.2 clear of next best (49.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong22d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight48below averageRPR 81 · TS 64 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight46below averageLast 6: 2-5
- Trainer20% weight35below averageDavid Loughnane: 3/21 winners last 14d (14%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Nottingham 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.90
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.04
High (9–11)
IV 1.08
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 149 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | J: Marco Ghiani · T: Marco Botti · draw 11 2yo · F · br | — | — | 18.0 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Jack Callan(3) · T: Edward Bethell · draw 9 2yo · C · ch | 5 | — | 43.5 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: James Owen · draw 1 2yo · C · b | 3 | — | 49.2 | 5/4F·2.25 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 7 2yo · C · b | — | — | 19.0 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 5 | 11 | J: Laura Pearson · T: David Loughnane · draw 6 2yo · F · b | 25 | — | 50.4 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 6 | 10 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Charlie Clover · draw 2 2yo · F · b | — | — | 25.0 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 7 | 5 | J: George Wood · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 8 2yo · C · b | — | — | 21.0 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 8 | 1 | J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Archie Watson · draw 5 2yo · C · gr | — | — | 18.0 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 9 | 8 | J: James Sullivan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 10 2yo · C · b | 8 | — | 28.3 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| 10 | 6 | J: Paddy Bradley · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 3 2yo · G · gr | 9 | — | 32.7 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 11 | 7 | J: Christian Howarth(3) · T: Ismail Mohammed · draw 4 2yo · C · b | — | — | 23.5 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:20 Nottingham?
No — the AI top pick (Thunda Struck) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 14:20 Nottingham?
Top finishers: 1. Bated Benevolence (GB) (7.50), 2. Harley (IRE) (10.00), 3. Regal Chita (IRE) (2.25).
What was the winning time for the 14:20 Nottingham?
The winning time was 1m 14.51s, 3.51s slower than standard.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org