16:45 Thirsk

Sky Bet Club Handicap

5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 17 runners · £12,370 · Sunday, 31 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th

1st
Al Hussar (GB)
Oliver Stammers·Grant Tuer
13/2·7.50
SP
2nd
Far Above The Law (IRE)
David Probert·Michael Herrington·beaten 0.1 lengths
7/1·8.00
SP
3rd
Vantheman (IRE)
Tom Eaves·Kevin Ryan·beaten .5 lengths
11/1·12.00
SP

Race time

57.22s+0.92s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Al Hussar (GB))

“Midfield - not clear run over 2f out - headway when ridden over 1f out - disputing lead inside final 110yds - just prevailed”

AI top-rated Montezuma (score 59.2) finished 5th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Muker

Others have more obvious claims but MUKER came good on his third run of last season after a quiet start to the campaign.

Forecast 13/2 Montezuma, 8/1 Vantheman, Kinetic Force, Woohoo, Far Above The Law, 9/1 Changeofmind, 10/1 Al Hussar, Spring Is Sprung, American Bay, 12/1 Mon Na Slieve, 14/1 I'm Next, Equity Law, 16/1 Copper Knight, 20/1 Muker, 25/1 Vince L'Amour, 33/1 Mondammej, Acrisius, King's Call

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Montezuma

Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie · 4yo

Top-rated of 17

score 59.2 · +0.1 clear of next best (59.1)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
14d since last run (race-fit window)
Ratings50% weight
57average
OR 79 · RPR 94 · TS 85
Form20% weight
53average
Last 6: 6-2-1-2-0
Trainer20% weight
50average
Jim Goldie: 9/46 winners last 14d (20%)

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Thirsk 5f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.22).

Low (1–6)

IV 0.73

Mid (7–12)

IV 1.08

High (13–18)

IV 1.22

Today: Vantheman (draw 13) and Mon Na Slieve (draw 16) get the bias; Copper Knight (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 163 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	8	Al Hussar J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 11 4yo · G · brb	34325	9-04	80	94	87	59.1	13/2·7.50 SP
2	3	Far Above The Law J: David Probert · T: Michael Herrington · draw 10 4yo · G · b	78431	9-08	84	94	88	53.7	7/1·8.00 SP
3	1	Vantheman J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 13 5yo · G · bb	18701	9-12	88	94	61	56.9	11/1·12.00 SP
4	2	Spring Is Sprung J: Jason Hart · T: Paul Midgley · draw 14 7yo · G · b	81447	9-09	85	93	58	44.2	20/1·21.00 SP
5	11	Montezuma J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 8 4yo · G · br	62120	9-03	79	94	85	59.2	9/2J·5.50 SP
6	6	Copper Knight J: Jake Dickson(7) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 2 12yo · G · bt	10210	9-05	81	95	83	53.6	25/1·26.00 SP
7	15	American Bay J: Mark Winn · T: Paul Midgley · draw 5 5yo · G · chpFT P	26325	9-01	77	97	87	47.6	12/1·13.00 SP
8	5	Changeofmind J: Zak Wheatley(3) · T: Declan Carroll · draw 9 6yo · G · ch	39501	9-05	81	92	86	51.1	20/1·21.00 SP
9	18	Woohoo J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 18 5yo · M · b	00014	8-07	69	95	72	54.5	7/1·8.00 SP
10	7	Kinetic Force J: Joanna Mason · T: Ruth Carr · draw 3 4yo · G · b	98431	9-05	81	96	83	50.9	9/2J·5.50 SP
11	10	King's Call J: Dale Swift · T: Seb Spencer · draw 15 4yo · G · bb	80000	9-03	79	92	94	38.1	28/1·29.00 SP
12	9	Mon Na Slieve J: Shane Gray · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 16 5yo · G · cht	69265	9-04	80	99	76	56.0	10/1·11.00 SP
13	12	Vince L'Amour J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Tim Easterby · draw 17 5yo · G · btb	82810	9-03	79	93	73	50.2	50/1·51.00 SP
14	13	Mondammej J: Cam Hardie · T: Antony Brittain · draw 1 9yo · G · b	60024	9-03	79	95	73	39.4	66/1·67.00 SP
15	17	Equity Law J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 6 5yo · G · bp	86336	8-12	74	96	85	50.9	9/1·10.00 SP
16	16	Acrisius J: Sam James · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 4 4yo · G · b	73109	8-13	75	96	75	49.0	33/1·34.00 SP
17	14	Muker J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 12 8yo · G · ch	53980	9-03	79	99	67	52.5	18/1·19.00 SP
—	—	I'm Next J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7 4yo · G · b	82140	9-05	81	95	86	52.7	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:45 Thirsk on 31 May 2026?

Al Hussar (GB) won the 16:45 Thirsk at SP 7.50. Ridden by Oliver Stammers. Trained by Grant Tuer.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:45 Thirsk?

No — the AI top pick (Montezuma) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 16:45 Thirsk?

Top finishers: 1. Al Hussar (GB) (7.50), 2. Far Above The Law (IRE) (8.00), 3. Vantheman (IRE) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:45 Thirsk?

The winning time was 57.22s, 0.92s slower than standard.

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