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3:00

Newcastle (AW)

Great Britain

Total Performance Data - 10 Years At Newcastle Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

Tuesday, 19 May 2026

1m4½f·Flat·Class 3·Standard·6 runners·£6,480
Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 1.83
  1. 1st
    Littlecote (GB)AI top pick · 54.1
    P J McDonald·Andrew Balding
    1.83
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Hello Friend (IRE)
    Sam James·K R Burke·beaten 1.25 lengths
    7.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Danseuse (IRE)
    Jack Mitchell·Simon & Ed Crisford·beaten .75 lengths
    4.00
    SP
Race time
2m 42.60s+5.40s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Littlecote (GB))

“Prominent - went second over 3f out - led and ridden 2f out - soon edged right - kept on well final 110yds”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.83 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Selections by model

Head-to-head dashboard →
v1.054.1/100 rating
Littlecote
1.86Betfair Exchange· informational only

Top-rated, but filter rejects this race

v1.1
No pick

Race outside the segment-edge filter

Each-way52.2/100 rating
Ticker Tape
8.60Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Littlecote

P J McDonald · Andrew Balding · 3yo

54.1/100
+1.9 vs next best (52.2)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    22d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    73strong
    Last 6: 5-2-2-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    45below average
    OR 75 · RPR 75 · TS 52 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    35below average
    Andrew Balding: 10/71 winners last 14d (14%)
MarketBest price 1.86 (Betfair Exchange) — market favourite. AI agrees with the market.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners

Pos#DrHorseJockey / TrainerFormWtORRPRTSAISP
623
The Lakes
4yo · F · bpFT P
Simon Whitaker
69
10-02—2—16.8
250/1
SP
336
Danseuse
3yo · F · b
Simon & Ed Crisford
—8-13———18.0
3/1
SP
247
Hello Friend
3yo · F · ch
K R Burke
—8-13———21.5
13/2
SP
451
La Tosca
3yo · F · ch
Charlie Johnston
43
8-13—64—47.3
22/1
SP
162
Littlecote
3yo · F · b
Andrew Balding
5222
8-1375755254.1
5/6F
SP
574
Ticker Tape
3yo · F · b
John & Thady Gosden
34
8-13—733052.2
11/2
SP
——5
Maneater
4yo · F · b
Richard Spencer
23
10-02—733745.0—

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 3:00 Newcastle (AW) on 19 May 2026?

Littlecote (GB) won the 3:00 Newcastle (AW) at SP 1.83. Ridden by P J McDonald. Trained by Andrew Balding.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 3:00 Newcastle (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Littlecote, won the race (AI score 54.1).

What were the placings in the 3:00 Newcastle (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Littlecote (GB) (1.83), 2. Hello Friend (IRE) (7.50), 3. Danseuse (IRE) (4.00).

What was the winning time for the 3:00 Newcastle (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 42.60s, 5.40s slower than standard.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

This is a tight call between Ticker Tape and LITTLECOTE but Andrew Balding's filly sets the standard and she gets the vote.

Racing Post pick: Littlecote

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Betting forecast

Formbook

2/1 Littlecote, 5/2 Ticker Tape, 4/1 Hello Friend, 5/1 Danseuse, 7/1 Maneater, 16/1 La Tosca, 200/1 The Lakes

Formbook's pre-race odds estimate — not market prices.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org