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Next · off now19:00Wolverhampton (AW)

15:00 Newcastle (AW)

Total Performance Data - 10 Years At Newcastle Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m4½f · Flat · Class 3 · Standard · 6 runners · £6,480 · Tuesday, 19 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 5/6F·1.83
  1. 1st
    Littlecote (GB)AI top pick · 54.1
    P J McDonald·Andrew Balding
    5/6F·1.83
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Hello Friend (IRE)
    Sam James·K R Burke·beaten 1.25 lengths
    13/2·7.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Danseuse (IRE)
    Jack Mitchell·Simon & Ed Crisford·beaten .75 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
Race time
2m 42.60s+5.40s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Littlecote (GB))

“Prominent - went second over 3f out - led and ridden 2f out - soon edged right - kept on well final 110yds”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.83 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Littlecote

This is a tight call between Ticker Tape and LITTLECOTE but Andrew Balding's filly sets the standard and she gets the vote.

Forecast 2/1 Littlecote, 5/2 Ticker Tape, 4/1 Hello Friend, 5/1 Danseuse, 7/1 Maneater, 16/1 La Tosca, 200/1 The Lakes

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Littlecote

P J McDonald · Andrew Balding · 3yo

Top-rated of 6
score 54.1 · +1.9 clear of next best (52.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    22d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    73strong
    Last 6: 5-2-2-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    45below average
    OR 75 · RPR 75 · TS 52 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    35below average
    Andrew Balding: 10/71 winners last 14d (14%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 1m4½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.06
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.90
High (6–7)
IV 1.02

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 150 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
Littlecote
J: P J McDonald · T: Andrew Balding · draw 2
3yo · F · b
5222
7554.1
5/6F·1.83
SP
24
Hello Friend
J: Sam James · T: K R Burke · draw 7
3yo · F · ch
——21.5
13/2·7.50
SP
33
Danseuse
J: Jack Mitchell · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 6
3yo · F · b
——18.0
3/1·4.00
SP
45
La Tosca
J: Jason Hart · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 1
3yo · F · ch
43
—47.3
22/1·23.00
SP
57
Ticker Tape
J: Robert Havlin · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 4
3yo · F · b
34
—52.2
11/2·6.50
SP
62
The Lakes
J: James Sullivan · T: Simon Whitaker · draw 3
4yo · F · bpFT P
69
—16.8
250/1·251.00
SP
——
Maneater
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard Spencer · draw 5
4yo · F · b
23
—45.0—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:00 Newcastle (AW) on 19 May 2026?

Littlecote (GB) won the 15:00 Newcastle (AW) at SP 1.83. Ridden by P J McDonald. Trained by Andrew Balding.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:00 Newcastle (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Littlecote, won the race (AI score 54.1).

What were the placings in the 15:00 Newcastle (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Littlecote (GB) (1.83), 2. Hello Friend (IRE) (7.50), 3. Danseuse (IRE) (4.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:00 Newcastle (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 42.60s, 5.40s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org