18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha
Next · 2m18:30Wolverhampton (AW)

16:00 Newcastle (AW)

In Loving Memory Of Yvonne Rush Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

5f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 6 runners · £5,400 · Tuesday, 19 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 5/4·2.25
  1. 1st
    Zain Primus (GB)AI top pick · 62.2
    Connor Beasley·John Butler
    5/4·2.25
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Qila (GB)
    Ben Robinson·Brian Ellison·beaten 1 length
    20/1·21.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Spaceman (IRE)
    Oisin Orr·Richard & Peter Fahey·beaten 0.3 lengths
    8/11F·1.73
    SP
Race time
59.91s+2.21s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Zain Primus (GB))

“Took keen hold - prominent - led over 1f out - ridden and ran on final 110yds”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Zain Primus and Spaceman have potential but GOLD DIGGER sets the standard if ready to go after 11 months off.

Forecast 6/4 Gold Digger, 15/8 Zain Primus, 5/2 Spaceman, 20/1 Project Wallace, Roy Lane, 25/1 Qila, 100/1 April Diamond, 200/1 The Cyprus Pearl

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Zain Primus

Connor Beasley · John Butler · 3yo

Top-rated of 6
score 62.2 · +8.9 clear of next best (53.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    87very strong
    Last 6: 3-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    43d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    58average
    John Butler: 3/13 winners last 14d (23%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    50below average
    RPR 77 · TS 72 — above field median
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.02
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.88
High (7–9)
IV 1.09

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 571 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
Zain Primus
J: Connor Beasley · T: John Butler · draw 6
3yo · C · br
31
—62.2
5/4·2.25
SP
26
Qila
J: Ben Robinson · T: Brian Ellison · draw 4
3yo · G · bFirst after wind op
54
—29.3
20/1·21.00
SP
38
Spaceman
J: Oisin Orr · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 3
3yo · C · b
2
—53.3
8/11F·1.73
SP
45
Project Wallace
J: Zak Wheatley(3) · T: Declan Carroll · draw 9
3yo · G · b
——23.5
22/1·23.00
SP
52
April Diamond
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 2
5yo · M · b
76
—31.5
80/1·81.00
SP
69
The Cyprus Pearl
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Alan Brown · draw 8
3yo · F · b
99
—31.2
200/1·201.00
SP
——
Gold Digger
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard Spencer · draw 1
3yo · F · b
16
9451.5—
——
Roy Lane
J: Sam James · T: K R Burke · draw 5
3yo · G · b
60
—37.2—
——
Forest Phoenix
J: NON-RUNNER · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7
3yo · G · ch
588
—16.7—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:00 Newcastle (AW) on 19 May 2026?

Zain Primus (GB) won the 16:00 Newcastle (AW) at SP 2.25. Ridden by Connor Beasley. Trained by John Butler.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:00 Newcastle (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Zain Primus, won the race (AI score 62.2).

What were the placings in the 16:00 Newcastle (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Zain Primus (GB) (2.25), 2. Qila (GB) (21.00), 3. Spaceman (IRE) (1.73).

What was the winning time for the 16:00 Newcastle (AW)?

The winning time was 59.91s, 2.21s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org