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RacingAlpha

16:45 Thirsk

David Ritchie Is 50! Happy Birthday! Fillies' Handicap

5f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 11 runners · £4,187 · Friday, 5 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 4/1J·5.00
  1. 1st
    Military Girl (IRE)AI top pick · 53.0
    Connor Beasley·Michael Dods
    4/1J·5.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Thunder Star (GB)
    Rhys Elliott·Jessica Macey·beaten 0.2 lengths
    13/2·7.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Startling (GB)
    Gianluca Sanna·John Wainwright·beaten 0.3 lengths
    33/1·34.00
    SP
Race time
58.94s+2.64s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Military Girl (IRE))

“Outpaced towards rear - rallied and headway when switched sharply left over 1f out - ridden and ran on well inside final furlong - led towards finish - just prevailed”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Pull The Rug

Fille Unique is 2lb well in and holds good claims, but PULL THE RUG is selected to come on from her reappearance at Catterick.

Forecast 4/1 Dragon Spin, J Street, 5/1 Military Girl, Fille Unique, 8/1 Pull The Rug, 10/1 Tanjen, Data Fata Secutus, 16/1 Thunder Star, Star Marian, 20/1 Cheerleader, 25/1 Startling, Solid Bond

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Military Girl

Connor Beasley · Michael Dods · 4yo

Top-rated of 11
score 53.0 · +4.0 clear of next best (49.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    16d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    66strong
    Last 6: 5-4-4-3-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    46below average
    OR 70 · RPR 76 · TS 63 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    33weak
    Michael Dods: 3/23 winners last 14d (13%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Thirsk 5f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.22).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.73
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.08
High (9–12)
IV 1.22

Today: Pull The Rug (draw 10) and Startling (draw 11) get the bias; Military Girl (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 163 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 3
4yo · F · b
54431
7053.0
4/1J·5.00
SP
21
J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Jessica Macey · draw 12
6yo · M · bb
02996
7033.3
13/2·7.50
SP
36
4yo · F · b
216P8
6035.7
33/1·34.00
SP
45
J: Kevin Stott · T: Edward Bethell · draw 10
3yo · F · b
43157
6946.1
7/1·8.00
SP
53
4yo · F · b
02863
6645.0
4/1J·5.00
SP
67
3yo · F · b
42231
6647.7
11/2·6.50
SP
74
J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Tim Easterby · draw 2
4yo · F · b
12059
6541.5
9/1·10.00
SP
88
J: Harry Smith(7) · T: Declan Carroll · draw 7
4yo · F · btFirst after wind op
95070
5932.7
11/1·12.00
SP
99
J: Jack Garritty · T: Tina Jackson · draw 6
4yo · F · bFirst after wind op
11728
5936.4
22/1·23.00
SP
1010
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Bryan Smart · draw 5
3yo · F · br
66312
6643.1
13/2·7.50
SP
1111
J: Oisin Orr · T: David Loughnane · draw 8
3yo · F · ch
55158
6049.0
28/1·29.00
SP
——
J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 9
3yo · F · bv
52737
5835.7—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:45 Thirsk on 5 June 2026?

Military Girl (IRE) won the 16:45 Thirsk at SP 5.00. Ridden by Connor Beasley. Trained by Michael Dods.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:45 Thirsk?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Military Girl, won the race (AI score 53.0).

What were the placings in the 16:45 Thirsk?

Top finishers: 1. Military Girl (IRE) (5.00), 2. Thunder Star (GB) (7.50), 3. Startling (GB) (34.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:45 Thirsk?

The winning time was 58.94s, 2.64s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org