Who won the 19:30 Doncaster on 5 June 2026?
Rumba Numba (GB) won the 19:30 Doncaster at SP 3.25. Ridden by Jack Mitchell. Trained by Roger Varian.
19:30 Doncaster
Apus Life Sciences Handicap
1m · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £5,653 · Friday, 5 June 2026
Result
AI top pick was a non-runnerRace report
- 1stRumba Numba (GB)Jack Mitchell·Roger Varian9/4·3.25SP
- 2ndMr Mistoffelees (IRE)Rowan Scott·Sam England·beaten 0.3 lengths11/1·12.00SP
- 3rdSailthisshipalone (GB)Jason Hart·Ivan Furtado·beaten 2.5 lengths9/2·5.50SP
Race time
1m 37.93s+1.93s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (Rumba Numba (GB))
“In touch with leaders - headway over 3f out - led over 1f out - ridden and kept on inside final 110yds”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Rumba Numba
Preference is for Roger Varian's very lightly raced 4yo RUMBA NUMBA, who looks interesting off a dangerous mark on her comeback.
Forecast 3/1 Rumba Numba, 6/1 Intrusively, 13/2 Sailthisshipalone, 7/1 Canvas, 8/1 Tilted Kilt, Cavolo Nero, Miletus, It'sneverjustone, 20/1 City Of Kings, Bowood, 25/1 Talis Evolvere, Cadarn, Mr Mistoffelees
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Cavolo Nero
Daniel Muscutt · James Ferguson · 4yo
Top-rated of 7
score 57.7 · +1.4 clear of next best (56.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong41d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight58averageOR 85 · RPR 98 · TS 80
- Form20% weight58averageLast 6: 4-3-2-3-4
- Trainer20% weight43small sample (n=6)James Ferguson: 1/6 winners last 14d (17%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Doncaster 1m
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–5)
IV 1.10
Mid (6–9)
IV 0.92
High (10–13)
IV 0.97
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 224 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Jack Mitchell · T: Roger Varian · draw 6 4yo · F · b | 6124 | 84 | 47.7 | 9/4·3.25 SP |
| 2 | 13 | J: Rowan Scott · T: Sam England · draw 11 6yo · G · bp | 26875 | 74 | 47.3 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 3 | 11 | J: Jason Hart · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 12 5yo · G · btp | 71714 | 78 | 56.3 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 4 | 10 | J: Harry Davies · T: Michael Appleby · draw 8 4yo · G · chv | 94094 | 79 | 41.3 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 5 | 12 | J: Elle-May Croot(5) · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 7 6yo · G · b | 11756 | 77 | 48.8 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| — | 5 | J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 10 5yo · G · b | 04050 | 82 | 48.8 | — |
| — | 7 | J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Scott Dixon · draw 5 4yo · G · b | 71704 | 80 | 51.0 | — |
| — | — | J: Jonny Peate · T: James Keane · draw 4 5yo · G · bt | 02526 | 81 | 44.8 | — |
| — | — | J: Sean D Bowen · T: Ian Williams · draw 2 6yo · G · b | 516 | 80 | 43.3 | — |
| — | — | J: William Pyle · T: David Loughnane · draw 9 4yo · G · b | 08544 | 80 | 50.1 | — |
| — | — | J: Marco Ghiani · T: William Knight · draw 3 4yo · G · chp | 02817 | 87 | 48.8 | — |
| — | — | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Ferguson · draw 1 4yo · G · bbFT B | 43234 | 85 | 57.7 | — |
| — | — | J: Alec Voikhansky · T: Richard Hannon · draw 13 6yo · G · b | 252808 | 87 | 51.5 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:30 Doncaster?
No — the AI top pick (Cavolo Nero) was a non-runner or unplaced.
What were the placings in the 19:30 Doncaster?
Top finishers: 1. Rumba Numba (GB) (3.25), 2. Mr Mistoffelees (IRE) (12.00), 3. Sailthisshipalone (GB) (5.50).
What was the winning time for the 19:30 Doncaster?
The winning time was 1m 37.93s, 1.93s slower than standard.
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