Who won the 17:15 Epsom on 5 June 2026?
Ellusive Butterfly (IRE) won the 17:15 Epsom at SP 10.00. Ridden by Clifford Lee. Trained by K R Burke.
17:15 Epsom
Cygames Surrey Stakes (Listed Race)
7f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Soft · 6 runners · £48,204 · Friday, 5 June 2026
Result
AI top pick was a non-runnerRace report
- 1stEllusive Butterfly (IRE)Clifford Lee·K R Burke9/1·10.00SP
- 2ndGreek Mythology (IRE)Dylan Browne McMonagle·Joseph Patrick O'Brien·beaten .75 lengths5/2·3.50SP
- 3rdArdisia (IRE)David Probert·Hugo Palmer·beaten 2.75 lengths18/1·19.00SP
Race time
1m 24.51s+3.41s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
In-running (Ellusive Butterfly (IRE))
“Took keen hold - made all - switched to near side over 2f out - soon reduced lead - faced challenge over 1f out - gamely”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 9.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Greek Mythology
With further progress plausible, Irish raider GREEK MYTHOLOGY is preferred. Postmodern is second pick.
Forecast 9/4 Stellar Sunrise, 4/1 Greek Mythology, Northern Champion, 6/1 Ten Carat Harry, 8/1 Postmodern, 10/1 Ellusive Butterfly, 14/1 Awaken, 16/1 Ardisia, 40/1 Assaranca
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Postmodern
James Doyle · Hamad Al Jehani · 3yo
Top-rated of 6
score 70.2 · +3.4 clear of next best (66.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=7)Hamad Al Jehani: 3/7 winners last 14d (43%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Ratings50% weight67strongOR 98 · RPR 112 · TS 90
- Freshness10% weight65strong91d since last run (rusty)
- Form20% weight52averageLast 6: 1-0-7-3-2
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Epsom 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.95
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.90
High (7–9)
IV 1.14
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 62 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | J: Clifford Lee · T: K R Burke · draw 9 3yo · F · b | 12447 | 95 | 62.0 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 6 3yo · C · bt | 123 | 102 | 66.8 | 5/2·3.50 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: David Probert · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 4 3yo · G · b | 27746 | 103 | 58.2 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 8 3yo · G · b | 13341 | 101 | 59.0 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 7 3yo · F · b | 16631 | 79 | 62.6 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 6 | 5 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 5 3yo · C · b | 11513 | 103 | 65.1 | EvensF·2.00 SP |
| — | — | J: James Doyle · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 2 3yo · G · bhFT H | 10732 | 98 | 70.2 | — |
| — | — | J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 3 3yo · F · bhFT H | 21940 | 101 | 60.9 | — |
| — | — | J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 1 3yo · C · b | 59110 | 104 | 63.6 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:15 Epsom?
No — the AI top pick (Postmodern) was a non-runner or unplaced.
What were the placings in the 17:15 Epsom?
Top finishers: 1. Ellusive Butterfly (IRE) (10.00), 2. Greek Mythology (IRE) (3.50), 3. Ardisia (IRE) (19.00).
What was the winning time for the 17:15 Epsom?
The winning time was 1m 24.51s, 3.41s slower than standard.
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