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RacingAlpha

Edinburgh Gin Cannonball Handicap

1m · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 12 runners · £4,187 · Saturday, 6 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 6th
  1. 1st
    Approaching Dawn (IRE)
    Lauren Young·Jim Goldie
    22/1·23.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Little Ted (GB)
    David Allan·Tim Easterby·beaten 0.3 lengths
    100/30F·4.33
    SP
  3. 3rd
    War Memorial (GB)
    Cian Horgan·Lawrence Mullaney·beaten 0.2 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
Race time
1m 39.75s+2.05s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Approaching Dawn (IRE))

“Walked to post - switched sharply right soon after start - held up in last - still plenty to do 3f out - soon rapid headway against far rail - ridden and led narrowly over 1f out - headed final 110yds - rallied and led again towards finish”

AI top-rated Doon The Glen (score 41.5) finished 6th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 9.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Nakatomi

All of these find winning hard these days. NAKATOMI has at least been threatening and he earns a speculative nod.

Forecast 4/1 War Memorial, Little Ted, Nakatomi, 7/1 Doon The Glen, 8/1 Monhammer, On The Bubble, 10/1 Samra Star, 14/1 Zebra Star, 16/1 Pebble Dash, 20/1 Freak Encounter, 33/1 Mavetheforcebewivu, Approaching Dawn

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Doon The Glen

Paul Mulrennan · Jim Goldie · 6yo

Top-rated of 12
score 41.5 · +3.1 clear of next best (38.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    8d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Trainer20% weight
    43below average
    Jim Goldie: 7/41 winners last 14d (17%)
  • Form20% weight
    41below average
    Last 6: 8-2-0-5-2-5
  • Ratings50% weight
    36below average
    OR 47 · RPR 63 · TS 51
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Musselburgh 1m

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.20).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.85
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.97
High (9–12)
IV 1.20

Today: On The Bubble (draw 9) and War Memorial (draw 10) get the bias; Samra Star (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 126 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
112
J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 12
6yo · G · ch
56875
4537.9
22/1·23.00
SP
24
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 4
9yo · G · chp
509605
5032.3
100/30F·4.33
SP
31
J: Cian Horgan(5) · T: Lawrence Mullaney · draw 10
5yo · G · b
007217
5337.9
5/1·6.00
SP
49
J: Barry McHugh · T: Gary Harrison · draw 11
4yo · G · b
642404
4534.3
20/1·21.00
SP
56
J: Amie Waugh(3) · T: R Mike Smith · draw 5
6yo · M · gr
30509
4729.6
12/1·13.00
SP
67
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 6
6yo · G · b
820525
4741.5
9/1·10.00
SP
711
J: Tom Eaves · T: Alan Brown · draw 1
4yo · F · bv
39570
4528.8
33/1·34.00
SP
85
J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Alan Brown · draw 8
4yo · G · bb
695632
4737.8
9/2·5.50
SP
98
J: Greg Fairley · T: Gary Rutherford · draw 9
5yo · M · b
54623
4538.0
5/1·6.00
SP
103
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Linda Perratt · draw 7
8yo · G · b
22325
5035.0
18/1·19.00
SP
1110
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Donald Whillans · draw 3
4yo · G · bt
05096
4525.2
28/1·29.00
SP
—2
J: Finlay Bassett(7) · T: Linda Perratt · draw 2
5yo · M · b
164382
5338.4—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:15 Musselburgh on 6 June 2026?

Approaching Dawn (IRE) won the 17:15 Musselburgh at SP 23.00. Ridden by Lauren Young. Trained by Jim Goldie.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:15 Musselburgh?

No — the AI top pick (Doon The Glen) finished 6.

What were the placings in the 17:15 Musselburgh?

Top finishers: 1. Approaching Dawn (IRE) (23.00), 2. Little Ted (GB) (4.33), 3. War Memorial (GB) (6.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:15 Musselburgh?

The winning time was 1m 39.75s, 2.05s slower than standard.

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