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RacingAlpha

14:37 Chester

Danny And Harriett Birthday Bash Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m2½f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 9 runners · £7,731 · Friday, 12 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Morbeh (GB)
    Cieren Fallon·Roger Varian
    15/8F·2.88
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Silver State (IRE)AI top pick · 62.1
    Rose Dawes·Jack Channon·beaten 1 length
    5/2·3.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Asia Force (IRE)
    Pierre-Louis Jamin·K R Burke·beaten 5 lengths
    8/1·9.00
    SP
Race time
2m 17.89s+10.19s vs std

Markedly slow — strong soft ground or a deeply tactical race.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Silver State

Rose Dawes(5) · Jack Channon · 3yo

Top-rated of 9
score 62.1 · +0.6 clear of next best (61.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    71strong
    Last 6: 3-3-1-1-5-2
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    6d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Trainer20% weight
    63small sample (n=8)
    Jack Channon: 2/8 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Ratings50% weight
    57average
    OR 85 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chester 1m2½f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.23).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.23
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.97
High (7–9)
IV 0.76

Today: Silver State (draw 2) and Home Hero (draw 1) get the bias; Asia Force (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 48 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
18
J: Cieren Fallon · T: Roger Varian · draw 4
3yo · G · ch
51421
7661.5
15/8F·2.88
SP
22
J: Rose Dawes(5) · T: Jack Channon · draw 2
3yo · G · bv
331152
8562.1
5/2·3.50
SP
36
J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: K R Burke · draw 9
3yo · C · b
222
7859.1
8/1·9.00
SP
43
3yo · G · b
73216
8355.8
12/1·13.00
SP
55
J: Jason Watson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 5
3yo · G · bvFT V
18350
8051.8
22/1·23.00
SP
64
J: Oisin Orr · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 6
3yo · G · chp
20044
8253.3
12/1·13.00
SP
77
J: Joanna Mason · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 3
3yo · C · b
01
7745.5
16/1·17.00
SP
89
J: Jason Hart · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 1
3yo · G · ch
6443
7250.2
15/2·8.50
SP
91
J: Gina Mangan · T: Ian Williams · draw 8
3yo · G · b
913
8547.7
33/1·34.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:37 Chester on 12 June 2026?

Morbeh (GB) won the 14:37 Chester at SP 2.88. Ridden by Cieren Fallon. Trained by Roger Varian.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:37 Chester?

No — the AI top pick (Silver State) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 14:37 Chester?

Top finishers: 1. Morbeh (GB) (2.88), 2. Silver State (IRE) (3.50), 3. Asia Force (IRE) (9.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:37 Chester?

The winning time was 2m 17.89s, 10.19s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org