18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

17:20 Roscommon

Ireland

Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden (IRE Incentive Race)

7½f · Flat · Good To Yielding · 8 runners · €14,725 · Monday, 18 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 11/4·3.75
  1. 1st
    Arizona Raider (IRE)AI top pick · 46.5
    Wesley Joyce·Michael Mulvany
    11/4·3.75
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Penny Benjamin (IRE)
    Chris Hayes·Noel Meade·beaten .75 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Glenade (IRE)
    W J Lee·P Twomey·beaten 0.2 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
Race time
1m 34.53s+3.63s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Arizona Raider (IRE))

“Soon led - headed and prominent after 1f - prominent behind clear leaders after 3f - headway from over 2f out - went second and pushed along under 2f out - soon ridden and ran on well - led towards finish”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Arizona Raider

The experience gained by ARIZONA RAIDER in two outings could be the decisive factor. The form of his Navan was boosted on Saturday

Forecast 15/8 Seaxburh, 9/4 Arizona Raider, 3/1 Glenade, 8/1 Penny Benjamin, 10/1 Sea Of Rain, 12/1 Magma Law, 20/1 Cochise County, Dominic Street

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Arizona Raider

Wesley Joyce(3) · Michael Mulvany · 2yo

Top-rated of 8
score 46.5 · +11.5 clear of next best (35.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    23d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    50average
    Last 6: 5-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    43below average
    RPR 90 · TS 39 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    25weak
    Michael Mulvany: 1/10 winners last 14d (10%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Roscommon 7½f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.26).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.26
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.09
High (7–8)
IV 0.64

Today: Seaxburh (draw 2) and Sea Of Rain (draw 3) get the bias; Cochise County (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 66 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
Arizona Raider
J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 5
2yo · C · b
53
—46.5
11/4·3.75
SP
27
Penny Benjamin
J: Chris Hayes · T: Noel Meade · draw 1
2yo · F · b
——20.0
12/1·13.00
SP
31
Glenade
J: W J Lee · T: P Twomey · draw 6
2yo · C · b
——35.0
4/1·5.00
SP
48
Sea Of Rain
J: Declan McDonogh · T: J S Bolger · draw 3
2yo · F · b
——20.5
5/2F·3.50
SP
54
Seaxburh
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 2
2yo · F · b
——24.0
9/2·5.50
SP
63
Dominic Street
J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Simon Cavanagh · draw 8
2yo · C · b
——15.0
22/1·23.00
SP
72
Cochise County
J: Gary Carroll · T: Joseph G Murphy · draw 7
2yo · G · b
9
—28.2
33/1·34.00
SP
86
Magma Law
J: Seamie Heffernan · T: Joseph G Murphy · draw 4
2yo · C · ch
——15.0
10/1·11.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:20 Roscommon on 18 May 2026?

Arizona Raider (IRE) won the 17:20 Roscommon at SP 3.75. Ridden by Wesley Joyce. Trained by Michael Mulvany.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:20 Roscommon?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Arizona Raider, won the race (AI score 46.5).

What were the placings in the 17:20 Roscommon?

Top finishers: 1. Arizona Raider (IRE) (3.75), 2. Penny Benjamin (IRE) (13.00), 3. Glenade (IRE) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:20 Roscommon?

The winning time was 1m 34.53s, 3.63s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org