18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha
Next · 11h 6m19:08Worcester

19:20 Roscommon

Ireland

Abbey Hotel Handicap

1m4f · Flat · Good To Yielding · 14 runners · €7,068 · Monday, 18 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Adel (GER)
    Jamie Powell·M D O'Callaghan
    11/1·12.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Connecteo (IRE)
    Chris Hayes·A Oliver·beaten .5 lengths
    18/1·19.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Wipeawayyourtears (IRE)
    Jack Cleary·Michael Butler·beaten 3.75 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
Race time
2m 42.94s+8.34s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Adel (GER))

Took keen hold - midfield - in touch with leaders after 4f - led over 2f out - ridden when faced challenge inside final furlong - ran on well

AI top-rated Femme Beauty (score 52.0) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Admiral Will Brown

One who could easily take a step forward on handicap debut is ADMIRAL WILL BROWN who is bred to prosper over midle-distances.

Forecast 3/1 Musashi, 5/1 Sea Of Dubka, 7/1 Femme Beauty, 9/1 Captain Con, 10/1 Admiral Will Brown, Connecteo, 11/1 Retro Gal, 12/1 Adel, Tenacious, Wipeawayyourtears, 16/1 Onyeisi, Survivor's Code, 25/1 Arizona Star, 33/1 Lilo Pelekai

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Femme Beauty

Shane Foley · K J Condon · 3yo

Top-rated of 14
score 52.0 · +3.2 clear of next best (48.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    6d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    57average
    Last 6: 9-3-7-4-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    55small sample (n=9)
    K J Condon: 2/9 winners last 14d (22%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Ratings50% weight
    45below average
    OR 62 · RPR 73 · TS 69 — above field median
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Roscommon 1m4f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)
IV 0.91
Mid (6–10)
IV 0.96
High (11–14)
IV 1.13

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 64 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Jamie Powell · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 2
3yo · G · b
66787
7032.5
11/1·12.00
SP
211
J: Chris Hayes · T: A Oliver · draw 6
3yo · G · ch
008
5836.7
18/1·19.00
SP
312
J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: Michael Butler · draw 3
3yo · F · bp
7062
5438.5
12/1·13.00
SP
44
J: Shane Foley · T: K J Condon · draw 1
3yo · F · bt
93741
6252.0
4/1·5.00
SP
56
J: W J Lee · T: Henry De Bromhead · draw 13
3yo · F · b
90834
6243.0
4/1·5.00
SP
68
J: Colin Keane · T: Noel Meade · draw 12
3yo · G · b
000
6032.2
14/1·15.00
SP
73
J: Ben Coen · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 8
3yo · G · b
877
6527.9
5/1·6.00
SP
814
J: Orla Tynan(7) · T: Jack Foley · draw 14
3yo · F · b
00005
5134.6
80/1·81.00
SP
913
J: Rory Cleary · T: Conor David Maxwell · draw 11
3yo · F · bb
60177
5234.2
25/1·26.00
SP
109
J: Robbie Colgan · T: Karl Thornton · draw 7
3yo · G · bb
32227
6036.9
66/1·67.00
SP
1110
J: Leigh Roche · T: Peter McCreery · draw 10
3yo · F · br
003
5841.0
80/1·81.00
SP
122
3yo · G · bb
00022
6648.8
9/4F·3.25
SP
137
3yo · F · b
70930
6236.6
20/1·21.00
SP
5
J: Ronan Whelan · T: Henry De Bromhead · draw 4
3yo · F · b
777
6238.3

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:20 Roscommon on 18 May 2026?

Adel (GER) won the 19:20 Roscommon at SP 12.00. Ridden by Jamie Powell. Trained by M D O'Callaghan.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:20 Roscommon?

No — the AI top pick (Femme Beauty) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 19:20 Roscommon?

Top finishers: 1. Adel (GER) (12.00), 2. Connecteo (IRE) (19.00), 3. Wipeawayyourtears (IRE) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:20 Roscommon?

The winning time was 2m 42.94s, 8.34s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org