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14:15 Curragh

Ireland

Kilkea Castle Marble Hill Stakes (Group 3)

6f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 7 runners · €41,230 · Sunday, 24 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Great Barrier Reef (IRE)
    Ryan Moore·A P O'Brien
    8/15F·1.53
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Carry The Flag (IRE)AI top pick · 65.5
    Wayne Lordan·A P O'Brien·beaten 1.25 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Immortal Guard (IRE)
    Donagh O'Connor·Robson De Aguiar·beaten 1.25 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
Race time
1m 11.33s+1.13s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Great Barrier Reef (IRE))

“Dwelt start - towards rear - headway on far side of group 3f out - ran green when ridden over 1f out - led inside final 110yds - kept on”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Great Barrier Reef

An impressive C&D winner on debut, GREAT BARRIER REEF is hard to look past

Forecast Evs Great Barrier Reef, 9/2 Edward Thatch, 6/1 Carry The Flag, 17/2 Immortal Guard, Otherworldly, 20/1 Alaskan Bear, Lars Soldier, 33/1 Brazilian Diva

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Carry The Flag

Wayne Lordan · A P O'Brien · 2yo

Top-rated of 7
score 65.5 · +3.7 clear of next best (61.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    15d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    93very strong
    Last 6: 2-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    58average
    RPR 91 · TS 83 — above field median
  • Trainer20% weight
    40below average
    A P O'Brien: 7/45 winners last 14d (16%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Curragh 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.12).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.03
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.84
High (7–8)
IV 1.12

Today: Carry The Flag (draw 8) and Edward Thatch (draw 7) get the bias; Lars Soldier (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 182 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
Great Barrier Reef
J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 1
2yo · C · ch
1
—61.2
8/15F·1.53
SP
22
Carry The Flag
J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 8
2yo · C · b
21
—65.5
5/1·6.00
SP
35
Immortal Guard
J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 6
2yo · C · b
1
—59.5
11/1·12.00
SP
41
Alaskan Bear
J: James Ryan · T: Jack W Davison · draw 2
2yo · C · b
2
—55.9
14/1·15.00
SP
56
Lars Soldier
J: Wesley Joyce · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 4
2yo · C · b
41
—61.8
33/1·34.00
SP
67
Otherworldly
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 5
2yo · C · b
2
—57.1
7/1·8.00
SP
78
Brazilian Diva
J: Diego Lima · T: Diego Dias · draw 3
2yo · F · ch
3
—35.2
300/1·301.00
SP
——
Edward Thatch
J: David Egan · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 7
2yo · C · b
31
—59.5—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:15 Curragh on 24 May 2026?

Great Barrier Reef (IRE) won the 14:15 Curragh at SP 1.53. Ridden by Ryan Moore. Trained by A P O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:15 Curragh?

No — the AI top pick (Carry The Flag) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 14:15 Curragh?

Top finishers: 1. Great Barrier Reef (IRE) (1.53), 2. Carry The Flag (IRE) (6.00), 3. Immortal Guard (IRE) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:15 Curragh?

The winning time was 1m 11.33s, 1.13s slower than standard.

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