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17:28 Cartmel

Women's Community Matters Handicap Chase

2m1½f · Chase · Class 5 · Good · 7 runners · £4,758 · Sunday, 28 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Fort Randall (IRE)
    Mr O McGill·Noel C Kelly
    85/40·3.12
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Blue Reed (FR)
    Danny Gilligan·Cian Collins·beaten 4.25 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Ghasham (IRE)
    Sean Bowen·Sam England·beaten 3.75 lengths
    11/8F·2.38
    SP
Race time
4m 23.50s+16.50s vs std

Markedly slow — usually heavy ground or an attritional race.

In-running (Fort Randall (IRE))

Held up at rear - progress after 2nd - tracked leaders before 3rd - moved to second 4 out - went to the front before the final turn - kept on well

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.12 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Cuzco Du Mathan

Cuzco Du Mathan has eased in the weights and a first-time visor could help, though he needs the ground to carry some cut — that is the key caveat. Conquer The Breeze brings a 7-length win from last week and is a clear threat despite the penalty, while Ghasham is also in form and Fort Randall must be respected back over fences. Cuzco Du Mathan is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Zumbi

NON-RUNNER · James Moffatt · 9yo

Top-rated of 7
score 73.6 · +4.0 clear of next best (69.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    89very strong
    Last 6: 4-2-2-1-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    73small sample (n=7)
    James Moffatt: 2/7 winners last 14d (29%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    2d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    69strong
    OR 103
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Mr O McGill(5) · T: Noel C Kelly · draw 0
7yo · G · b
3713
10556.1
85/40·3.12
SP
26
J: Danny Gilligan · T: Cian Collins · draw 0
7yo · G · btp
67451
9753.1
9/1·10.00
SP
33
J: Sean Bowen · T: Sam England · draw 0
7yo · G · bt
55221
10269.7
11/8F·2.38
SP
44
J: Jamie Hamilton · T: Mark Walford · draw 0
5yo · G · bhtFT HT
25462
9956.9
16/1·17.00
SP
511
J: Joe Williamson · T: Philip Kirby · draw 0
9yo · G · bp
45143
8950.0
16/1·17.00
SP
610
9yo · G · btb
2P274
9347.5
13/2·7.50
SP
78
J: Derek Fox · T: Stuart Coltherd · draw 0
7yo · G · bp
2542
9653.7
28/1·29.00
SP
J: Ryan Mania · T: Adam Nicol · draw 0
7yo · G · bt
P1141
10969.1
J: Danny McMenamin · T: Brian Ellison · draw 0
8yo · G · ch
53938
9952.1
J: Brian Hughes · T: James Moffatt · draw 0
8yo · G · grv
76447
9560.6
J: NON-RUNNER · T: James Moffatt · draw 0
9yo · G · grtp
42211
10373.6

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:28 Cartmel on 28 June 2026?

Fort Randall (IRE) won the 17:28 Cartmel at SP 3.12. Ridden by Mr O McGill. Trained by Noel C Kelly.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:28 Cartmel?

No — the AI top pick (Zumbi) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 17:28 Cartmel?

Top finishers: 1. Fort Randall (IRE) (3.12), 2. Blue Reed (FR) (10.00), 3. Ghasham (IRE) (2.38).

What was the winning time for the 17:28 Cartmel?

The winning time was 4m 23.50s, 16.50s slower than standard.

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