21:00 Ayr

Good Luck Scotland Classified Stakes

1m5f · Flat · Class 6 · Soft · 9 runners · £3,780 · Friday, 19 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 7th

1st
Is She Now (IRE)
David Nolan·Daragh Bourke
100/30·4.33
SP
2nd
Nala The Lioness (GB)
Paul Mulrennan·David Killahena & Graeme McPherson·beaten 4 lengths
11/4F·3.75
SP
3rd
Late Claim (FR)
Finlay Bassett·John Mackie·beaten 1.25 lengths
13/2·7.50
SP

Race time

2m 58.34s+12.34s vs std

Markedly slow — strong soft ground or a deeply tactical race.

AI top-rated Star Of Emerald (score 42.1) finished 7th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Star Of Emerald

Cam Hardie · Edward Bethell · 3yo

Top-rated of 9

score 42.1 · +1.3 clear of next best (40.8)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
20d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
43below average
Edward Bethell: 4/24 winners last 14d (17%)
Form20% weight
35weak
Last 6: 7-4-6-4
Ratings50% weight
33weak
OR 50 — highest combined rating in the field

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ayr 1m5f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 0.86

Mid (4–6)

IV 1.14

High (7–9)

IV 1.03

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 29 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	6	Is She Now J: David Nolan · T: Daragh Bourke · draw 3 8yo · M · ch	49490	9-09	45	—	—	24.4	100/30·4.33 SP
2	1	Nala The Lioness J: Paul Mulrennan · T: David Killahena & Graeme McPherson · draw 7 6yo · M · bt	08871	10-00	47	—	—	40.8	11/4F·3.75 SP
3	7	Late Claim J: Finlay Bassett(7) · T: John Mackie · draw 6 5yo · M · brtp	260864	9-09	47	—	—	40.2	13/2·7.50 SP
4	4	Falaise Blanc J: Ryan Sexton · T: Katie Scott · draw 8 4yo · G · bvFT V	00682	9-09	47	—	—	35.7	9/1·10.00 SP
5	5	Freak Encounter J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Donald Whillans · draw 4 4yo · G · bt	50960	9-09	44	—	—	23.4	100/1·101.00 SP
6	2	Another Beautiful J: Elle-May Croot(5) · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 1 6yo · M · btvFT TV	0987	9-09	48	—	—	26.0	20/1·21.00 SP
7	9	Star Of Emerald J: Cam Hardie · T: Edward Bethell · draw 9 3yo · G · bvFT V	7464	8-08	50	—	—	42.1	17/2·9.50 SP
8	8	Tracker Issue J: Andrew Mullen · T: Adam Nicol · draw 5 4yo · G · bb	20004	9-09	50	—	—	37.7	18/1·19.00 SP
DSQ	3	Desert Quest J: Aiden Brookes · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 2 8yo · G · b	39544	9-09	48	—	—	38.6	7/2·4.50 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 21:00 Ayr on 19 June 2026?

Is She Now (IRE) won the 21:00 Ayr at SP 4.33. Ridden by David Nolan. Trained by Daragh Bourke.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 21:00 Ayr?

No — the AI top pick (Star Of Emerald) finished 7.

What were the placings in the 21:00 Ayr?

Top finishers: 1. Is She Now (IRE) (4.33), 2. Nala The Lioness (GB) (3.75), 3. Late Claim (FR) (7.50).

What was the winning time for the 21:00 Ayr?

The winning time was 2m 58.34s, 12.34s slower than standard.

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