18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

15:28 Ayr

Dalcon Civil Engineering Classified Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 6 · Soft · 10 runners · £3,664 · Saturday, 20 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Lope Y Linda (GB)
    David Allan·Tim Easterby
    11/10F·2.10
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Ridgemaster (IRE)
    Amie Waugh·Simon Waugh·beaten 2 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Monhammer (GB)
    Paul Mulrennan·Linda Perratt·beaten 1 length
    8/1·9.00
    SP
Race time
1m 32.04s+5.44s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.10 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Lanarra

Oisin Orr · R Mike Smith · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 41.2 · +2.6 clear of next best (38.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    12d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    64average
    Last 6: 7-6-1-2-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    33weak
    OR 49
  • Trainer20% weight
    25weak
    R Mike Smith: 2/21 winners last 14d (10%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ayr 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 1.06
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.92
High (9–12)
IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 140 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
110
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 8
3yo · F · br
54120
5037.4
11/10F·2.10
SP
25
J: Amie Waugh(3) · T: Simon Waugh · draw 7
4yo · G · gr
18073
4832.4
9/2·5.50
SP
32
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Linda Perratt · draw 10
8yo · G · b
23250
4833.4
8/1·9.00
SP
43
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 3
4yo · F · ch
756996
4730.1
15/2·8.50
SP
511
J: Mark Winn · T: Noel Wilson · draw 9
3yo · F · btpFT TP
67739
4829.4
33/1·34.00
SP
64
J: Barry McHugh · T: Gary Harrison · draw 2
4yo · G · bp
240444
4530.0
14/1·15.00
SP
76
9yo · G · b
225407
4538.7
16/1·17.00
SP
88
J: Jason Hart · T: Katie Scott · draw 12
3yo · F · b
85088
4423.8
28/1·29.00
SP
9
J: Oisin Orr · T: R Mike Smith · draw 5
3yo · F · b
76123
4941.2
12
J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: R Mike Smith · draw 6
3yo · F · b
66043
4336.5
J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 4
6yo · G · ch
87519
4637.8
J: Tom Eaves · T: Linda Perratt · draw 1
12yo · G · b/br
548850
5029.9

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:28 Ayr on 20 June 2026?

Lope Y Linda (GB) won the 15:28 Ayr at SP 2.10. Ridden by David Allan. Trained by Tim Easterby.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:28 Ayr?

No — the AI top pick (Lanarra) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 15:28 Ayr?

Top finishers: 1. Lope Y Linda (GB) (2.10), 2. Ridgemaster (IRE) (5.50), 3. Monhammer (GB) (9.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:28 Ayr?

The winning time was 1m 32.04s, 5.44s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org