Who won the 15:45 Musselburgh on 22 June 2026?
Gemini Man (IRE) won the 15:45 Musselburgh at SP 3.25. Ridden by A Mullen. Trained by I Jardine.
15:45 Musselburgh
Haysmith By A Nose 60th Birthday Handicap
1m4½f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 7 runners · £4,187 · Monday, 22 June 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 9/4F·3.25Race report
- 1stGemini Man (IRE)AI top pick · 50.0A Mullen·I Jardine9/4F·3.25SP
- 2ndNaturalia (GB)Shay Farmer·D W Whillans·beaten 0.3 lengths4/1·5.00SP
- 3rdSophiesticate (IRE)William Pyle·R M Smith·beaten 0.3 lengths7/1·8.00SP
Race time
2m 42.24s+4.44s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
In-running (Gemini Man (IRE))
“Raced in the back half of the field - picked up on the wide outer over 2f out - bore right under pressure but advanced to challenge approaching the final furlong - edged ahead inside the final 110yds - kept on to win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Gemini Man
Gemini Man arrives off a straightforward success at Newcastle and has shown consistent form over 10-12f on both surfaces; back on turf, the form reading suggests he is the one to beat, with Naturalia — beaten a head at Carlisle last time — the most obvious danger, and Rosemary May a fair third option after her improved showing at Ripon — Gemini Man is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Gemini Man
A Mullen · I Jardine · 8yo
Top-rated of 7
score 50.0 · +3.0 clear of next best (47.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong20d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight83very strongLast 6: 2-5-1-2-1
- Ratings50% weight35weakOR 52
- Trainer20% weight30weakI Jardine: 4/34 winners last 14d (12%)
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Musselburgh 1m4½f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.17).
Low (1–3)
IV 1.17
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.64
High (6–7)
IV 1.13
Today: Time Turner (draw 1) and Star Of Markinch (draw 3) get the bias; Gemini Man (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 54 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 8yo · G · b | 25121 | 52 | 50.0 | 9/4F·3.25 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Shay Farmer · T: D W Whillans · draw 6 5yo · M · b | 29622 | 62 | 39.0 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: William Pyle · T: R M Smith · draw 2 7yo · M · b | 87776 | 52 | 30.6 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Connor Beasley · T: E Bethell · draw 1 4yo · G · chv | 64219 | 65 | 47.0 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: Sean Kirrane · T: T D Easterby · draw 7 4yo · F · bh | 80893 | 55 | 36.7 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: P Mulrennan · T: J S Goldie · draw 4 4yo · G · b | 77765 | 63 | 37.3 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| — | 7 | J: Amie Waugh · T: Gary Rutherford · draw 3 10yo · M · b | 70444 | 46 | 32.7 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:45 Musselburgh?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Gemini Man, won the race (AI score 50.0).
What were the placings in the 15:45 Musselburgh?
Top finishers: 1. Gemini Man (IRE) (3.25), 2. Naturalia (GB) (5.00), 3. Sophiesticate (IRE) (8.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:45 Musselburgh?
The winning time was 2m 42.24s, 4.44s slower than standard.
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