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17:17 Newbury

BetVictor 100/1 On England Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1)

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners · £6,480 · Tuesday, 23 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Arabica Queen (GB)
    Rob Hornby·J G Portman
    8/1·9.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Big Hitter (IRE)
    P J McDonald·J A Osborne·beaten 0.05 lengths
    15/8·2.88
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Wateera (IRE)AI top pick · 37.5
    C Lee·K R Burke·beaten 0.05 lengths
    5/4F·2.25
    SP
Race time
1m 12.32s+1.82s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Arabica Queen (GB))

Raced up with the pace - advanced into second 2f out and closed on the leader - drifted left while contesting the lead inside final furlong - hit the front in the dying strides - battled

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Big Hitter

Secret Rival did nothing wrong on her Chepstow debut in terms of race experience — she raced too keenly and looked entirely unsuited by the soft ground — and she is bred for speed, suggesting today's much quicker conditions at Newbury could produce a very different display. Runners from Ed Walker's yard regularly improve markedly from a first run to a second. Wateera was straightforward and impressive at Wetherby and is a genuine threat despite carrying a penalty; Big Hitter was runner-up that day and is respected once more. Sugar Yes Please, whose stable has an excellent record in this race, also merits attention on debut. Secret Rival is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Wateera

C Lee · K R Burke · 2yo

Top-rated of 10
score 37.5 · +8.9 clear of next best (28.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    100very strong
    Last 6: 1
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    19d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    38below average
    K R Burke: 8/53 winners last 14d (15%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newbury 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 1.00
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.93
High (8–10)
IV 1.07

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 100 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
J: Rob Hornby · T: J G Portman · draw 1
2yo · F · ch
42
23.4
8/1·9.00
SP
22
J: P J McDonald · T: J A Osborne · draw 6
2yo · F · ch
2
28.6
15/8·2.88
SP
31
J: C Lee · T: K R Burke · draw 5
2yo · F · b
1
37.5
5/4F·2.25
SP
47
2yo · F · b
23.0
12/1·13.00
SP
510
J: D Egan · T: J S Moore · draw 8
2yo · F · b
15.0
100/1·101.00
SP
64
J: K Shoemark · T: E Walker · draw 9
2yo · F · b
8
18.0
18/1·19.00
SP
73
J: Oisin Murphy · T: R Hughes · draw 7
2yo · F · ch
17.5
12/1·13.00
SP
88
J: Darragh Keenan · T: B R Millman · draw 2
2yo · F · gr
9
14.2
125/1·126.00
SP
95
J: N Callan · T: George Baker · draw 4
2yo · F · ch
5
23.0
100/1·101.00
SP
109
J: Jason Watson · T: C Hills · draw 3
2yo · F · ch
18.0
18/1·19.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:17 Newbury on 23 June 2026?

Arabica Queen (GB) won the 17:17 Newbury at SP 9.00. Ridden by Rob Hornby. Trained by J G Portman.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:17 Newbury?

No — the AI top pick (Wateera) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 17:17 Newbury?

Top finishers: 1. Arabica Queen (GB) (9.00), 2. Big Hitter (IRE) (2.88), 3. Wateera (IRE) (2.25).

What was the winning time for the 17:17 Newbury?

The winning time was 1m 12.32s, 1.82s slower than standard.

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