Who won the 16:02 Carlisle on 24 June 2026?
Ellusive Butterfly (IRE) won the 16:02 Carlisle at SP 3.50. Ridden by Clifford Lee. Trained by K R Burke.
← All racecards16:02
Carlisle
Great BritainIrish Stallion Farms EBF Eternal Stakes (Fillies' Listed)
Wednesday, 24 June 2026
7f·Flat·Class 1·Good To Firm·10 runners·£39,697
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stEllusive Butterfly (IRE)Clifford Lee·K R Burke5/2·3.50SP
- 2ndJust A Girl (GB)Connor Beasley·Charlie Johnston·beaten .75 lengths11/1·12.00SP
- 3rdStimulative Trip (FR)Paul Mulrennan·David Menuisier·beaten 1 length28/1·29.00SP
Race time
1m 25.33s+0.53s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (Ellusive Butterfly (IRE))
“Set the pace - under pressure from 2f out - narrowly headed over 1f out - rallied to regain the advantage inside final furlong - stayed on strongly”
AI top-rated Albaydaa (score 64.6) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.064.6/100 rating
Albaydaa
2.98Betfair Exchange· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Each-way57.2/100 rating
Applesandpears
9.60Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
Albaydaa
Tom Marquand · W J Haggas · 3yo
64.6/100
+2.4 vs next best (62.2)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong25d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight85very strongLast 6: 2-1-3-2-1
- Ratings50% weight57averageOR 86
- Trainer20% weight45below averageW J Haggas: 10/57 winners last 14d (18%)
MarketBest price 2.98 (Betfair Exchange) — market favourite. AI agrees with the market.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners
| Pos | # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 3 | 3yo · F · b | 124471 | 9-05 | 100 | — | — | 62.2 | 5/2·3.50 SP | |
| 5 | 2 | 5 | 3yo · F · ch | 21321 | 9-02 | 86 | — | — | 64.6 | 2/1F·3.00 SP | |
| 6 | 3 | 8 | 3yo · F · b | 21183 | 9-02 | 84 | — | — | 57.2 | 9/2·5.50 SP | |
| 7 | 4 | 9 | 3yo · F · b | 66315 | 9-02 | 79 | — | — | 51.4 | 33/1·34.00 SP | |
| 9 | 5 | 7 | 3yo · F · bbFT B | 21896 | 9-02 | 87 | — | — | 56.3 | 22/1·23.00 SP | |
| PU | 6 | 2 | 3yo · F · ch | 12 | 9-02 | 77 | — | — | 51.2 | 66/1·67.00 SP | |
| 4 | 7 | 10 | 3yo · F · b | 12746 | 9-02 | 93 | — | — | 48.8 | 18/1·19.00 SP | |
| 8 | 8 | 1 | 3yo · F · ch | 76573 | 9-02 | 99 | — | — | 54.7 | 11/2·6.50 SP | |
| 2 | 9 | 4 | 3yo · F · b | 73422 | 9-02 | 83 | — | — | 58.1 | 11/1·12.00 SP | |
| 3 | 10 | 6 | 3yo · F · b | 196 | 9-02 | 89 | — | — | 59.4 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:02 Carlisle?
No — the AI top pick (Albaydaa) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 16:02 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. Ellusive Butterfly (IRE) (3.50), 2. Just A Girl (GB) (12.00), 3. Stimulative Trip (FR) (29.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:02 Carlisle?
The winning time was 1m 25.33s, 0.53s slower than standard.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyAlbaydaa heads our figures as the top-rated runner, having taken a handicap at this track last time with determination and looking progressive at this level. Effective from 6-7f on a sound surface and the AW, she has more to offer and rates a genuine chance of taking another forward step. Golden Palace is the main danger — placed at Listed level last time and capable in this grade — while Ellusive Butterfly brings Listed-winning form over this trip but must now concede weight. Albaydaa is our selection.
Racing Post pick: Albaydaa
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org