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Happy Retirement Martin Stoneman Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m2f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 3 runners · £6,480 · Thursday, 25 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 7/4·2.75
  1. 1st
    Food For Thought (GB)AI top pick · 53.5
    Pat Dobbs·Ralph Beckett
    7/4·2.75
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Hatta Romance (IRE)
    Tyler Heard·Mark Usher·beaten 1.75 lengths
    16/1·17.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Velvet Vega (IRE)
    Benoit De La Sayette·John & Thady Gosden·beaten 9 lengths
    4/7F·1.57
    SP
Race time
2m 17.12s+10.52s vs std

Markedly slow — strong soft ground or a deeply tactical race.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Velvet Vega

Velvet Vega set clear standard in this modest novice, her debut form franked at the highest level since — she was third at Kempton most recently and is bred for this trip, effective on good ground and the all-weather. Food For Thought is well bred by a strong yard and left the impression she needed her Chepstow outing, while Hatta Romance shaped with promise on debut in stronger company. Velvet Vega is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Food For Thought

Pat Dobbs · Ralph Beckett · 3yo

Top-rated of 3
score 53.5 · +23.8 clear of next best (29.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    27d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    53average
    OR 80 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    52average
    Last 6: 6-2-4
  • Trainer20% weight
    33weak
    Ralph Beckett: 6/45 winners last 14d (13%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Nottingham 1m2f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–1)
IV 0.91
Mid (2–2)
IV 0.99
High (3–3)
IV 1.11

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 196 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Pat Dobbs · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 3
3yo · F · b
624
8053.5
7/4·2.75
SP
22
J: Tyler Heard · T: Mark Usher · draw 2
3yo · F · b
5
16.0
16/1·17.00
SP
33
3yo · F · ch
23
29.7
4/7F·1.57
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 10:30 Nottingham on 25 June 2026?

Food For Thought (GB) won the 10:30 Nottingham at SP 2.75. Ridden by Pat Dobbs. Trained by Ralph Beckett.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 10:30 Nottingham?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Food For Thought, won the race (AI score 53.5).

What were the placings in the 10:30 Nottingham?

Top finishers: 1. Food For Thought (GB) (2.75), 2. Hatta Romance (IRE) (17.00), 3. Velvet Vega (IRE) (1.57).

What was the winning time for the 10:30 Nottingham?

The winning time was 2m 17.12s, 10.52s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org