Who won the 16:22 Newcastle (AW) on 25 June 2026?
Lord Ragnar (IRE) won the 16:22 Newcastle (AW) at SP 4.50. Ridden by Robert Havlin. Trained by Ed Dunlop.
16:22 Newcastle (AW)
True Colours Charity Restricted Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) (Div 1)
7f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard To Slow · 10 runners · £5,940 · Thursday, 25 June 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stLord Ragnar (IRE)Robert Havlin·Ed Dunlop7/2·4.50SP
- 2ndAphra Behn (GB)Edward Greatrex·Ralph Beckett·beaten 0.1 lengths10/11F·1.91SP
- 3rdPonte Carlo (IRE)AI top pick · 41.2Jason Hart·Tim Easterby·beaten 2.25 lengths7/1·8.00SP
Race time
1m 28.47s+4.47s vs std
Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Aphra Behn
Aphra Behn shaped with promise on debut at Salisbury and with a 5lb allowance off the males, the step up to 7f should bring more improvement from the Ralph Beckett filly. Athos is the danger, having met a decent field at York first time and likely to improve for the greater test of stamina. Lord Ragnar steps forward again having made significant progress from debut to runner-up last time. Aphra Behn is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Ponte Carlo
Jason Hart · Tim Easterby · 2yo
Top-rated of 10
score 41.2 · +12.7 clear of next best (28.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong33d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight44below averageOR 66 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight30weakTim Easterby: 13/106 winners last 14d (12%)
- Form20% weight23weakLast 6: 3-8-6
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.94
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.06
High (8–10)
IV 1.01
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 632 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Robert Havlin · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 5 2yo · C · ch | 02 | — | 23.4 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 2 | 7 | J: Edward Greatrex · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 3 2yo · F · b | 3 | — | 28.5 | 10/11F·1.91 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Jason Hart · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7 2yo · C · b | 386 | 66 | 41.2 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 4 | 8 | J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Roger Fell · draw 6 2yo · F · ch | 64 | — | 25.3 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: Oisin Orr · T: John Butler · draw 2 2yo · G · gr | 6 | — | 21.5 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 8 2yo · G · b | 53 | — | 23.0 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 7 | 9 | J: Ben Robinson · T: Brian Ellison · draw 9 2yo · F · ch | 5 | — | 15.5 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 8 | 10 | J: Cam Hardie · T: Ollie Pears · draw 10 2yo · F · b | — | — | 15.0 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 9 | 6 | J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Mark Walford · draw 4 2yo · G · ch | 9 | — | 8.2 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| 10 | 2 | J: Tom Eaves · T: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood · draw 1 2yo · G · b | — | — | 15.0 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:22 Newcastle (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Ponte Carlo) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 16:22 Newcastle (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Lord Ragnar (IRE) (4.50), 2. Aphra Behn (GB) (1.91), 3. Ponte Carlo (IRE) (8.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:22 Newcastle (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 28.47s, 4.47s slower than standard.
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