Who won the 18:53 Newcastle (AW) on 26 June 2026?
Botagoz (IRE) won the 18:53 Newcastle (AW) at SP 7.50. Ridden by Ray Dawson. Trained by Roger Varian.
18:53 Newcastle (AW)
JenningsBet In Delves Hoppings Fillies' Stakes (Fillies' And Mares' Group 3)
1m2f · Flat · Class 1 · Standard To Slow · 7 runners · £53,875 · Friday, 26 June 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 7thRace report
- 1stBotagoz (IRE)Ray Dawson·Roger Varian13/2·7.50SP
- 2ndDiamond Rain (GB)William Buick·Charlie Appleby·beaten 0.1 lengths4/6F·1.67SP
- 3rdSky Safari (GB)Daniel Muscutt·James Fanshawe·beaten 3.25 lengths4/1·5.00SP
Race time
2m 9.02s+2.02s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (Botagoz (IRE))
“Hood on, held towards the rear - came through to join the leader over 1f out - challenged inside final furlong - all out and prevailed on the line”
AI top-rated Ashariba (score 72.1) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 20.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Diamond Rain
Diamond Rain is the standout on her record and on our figures, rated 8lb clear of the chasing pack. She took this race 12 months ago, placed at the very top level overseas subsequently, and while her York reappearance left a little to be desired, the lack of pace there was clearly a factor for a mare who is best on a sound surface with a strong gallop. She is likely to prove different class on this all-weather surface. Dreamasar has been progressive and her Listed win at Haydock takes on more lustre with time; she is the likeliest danger. Ashariba, a previous Listed winner herself, ran her race in France last time and can fill the frame. Diamond Rain is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Ashariba
Callum Rodriguez · David Menuisier · 5yo
Top-rated of 7
score 72.1 · +1.3 clear of next best (70.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight90very strongDavid Menuisier: 5/14 winners last 14d (36%)
- Freshness10% weight85very strong43d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight66strongOR 99
- Form20% weight63averageLast 6: 5-1-1-9-2
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 1m2f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.94
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.07
High (6–7)
IV 1.01
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 165 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 4 3yo · F · br | 113 | 97 | 64.8 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: William Buick · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 5 5yo · M · b | 11233 | 114 | 70.8 | 4/6F·1.67 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Fanshawe · draw 3 5yo · M · bt | 11218 | 106 | 68.0 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: P J McDonald · T: Ed Walker · draw 1 4yo · F · b | 31411 | 102 | 63.8 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: Luke Morris · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 7 4yo · F · gr | 43936 | 97 | 51.8 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Marco Ghiani · T: David Menuisier · draw 6 5yo · M · b | 16766 | 97 | 63.7 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 7 | 3 | J: Callum Rodriguez · T: David Menuisier · draw 2 5yo · M · ch | 51192 | 99 | 72.1 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:53 Newcastle (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Ashariba) finished 7.
What were the placings in the 18:53 Newcastle (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Botagoz (IRE) (7.50), 2. Diamond Rain (GB) (1.67), 3. Sky Safari (GB) (5.00).
What was the winning time for the 18:53 Newcastle (AW)?
The winning time was 2m 9.02s, 2.02s slower than standard.
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