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RacingAlpha

19:48 Dundalk (AW)

Ireland

Family Fun Day Saturday 15th August Handicap

1m4f · Flat · Standard · 14 runners · €5,900 · Tuesday, 26 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Grey Fable (IRE)
    Ben Coen·Karl Thornton
    22/1·23.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Copper Craft (IRE)AI top pick · 48.0
    W J Lee·A Oliver·beaten 0.3 lengths
    6/5F·2.20
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Chopsticks (IRE)
    Shane Foley·John C McConnell·beaten .5 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
Race time
2m 36.79s+6.79s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Grey Fable (IRE))

Prominent - switched to centre and ridden to lead over 1f out - faced challenges but kept on well inside final 110yds - always doing enough

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.20 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Copper Craft

If sharper for his run after a break here in April, then COPPER CRAFT should have every chance of reversing placings with Jawhary.

Forecast 5/2 Copper Craft, 3/1 Jawhary, 13/2 Numidia, 7/1 Chopsticks, 8/1 Eastern Wind, 14/1 Church Mountain, 16/1 Grey Fable, Skib Gold, 25/1 Sarmiento Power, Smooth, Highway Sixty One, Kilgharrahs Love, 50/1 Folk Warrior, Angel Harry

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Copper Craft

W J Lee · A Oliver · 4yo

Top-rated of 14
score 48.0 · +1.9 clear of next best (46.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    33d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    63average
    A Oliver: 3/12 winners last 14d (25%)
  • Form20% weight
    44below average
    Last 6: 0-0-3-4-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    36below average
    OR 47 · RPR 63 · TS 54
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Dundalk (AW) 1m4f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)
IV 0.89
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.09
High (11–15)
IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 270 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: Ben Coen · T: Karl Thornton · draw 4
6yo · G · grt
56640
5639.5
22/1·23.00
SP
210
J: W J Lee · T: A Oliver · draw 12
4yo · G · chp
00343
4748.0
6/5F·2.20
SP
31
J: Shane Foley · T: John C McConnell · draw 1
6yo · G · bp
45120
6031.3
11/1·12.00
SP
412
J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: L Young · draw 13
4yo · G · b
44467
4538.2
16/1·17.00
SP
59
J: Seamie Heffernan · T: J A Nash · draw 14
4yo · G · ch
000
4820.8
25/1·26.00
SP
62
J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 9
8yo · G · bv
664210
6046.1
6/1·7.00
SP
76
J: Rory Cleary · T: Peter Lawlor · draw 5
8yo · G · bv
56400
5529.1
18/1·19.00
SP
811
4yo · F · b
70079
4738.3
33/1·34.00
SP
93
J: J M Sheridan · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 2
8yo · G · btp
087400
5924.0
16/1·17.00
SP
108
J: Robbie Colgan · T: Matthew J Smith · draw 8
5yo · G · chtFT T
55580
5330.9
20/1·21.00
SP
1113
J: Ronan Whelan · T: P J F Murphy · draw 15
4yo · G · btpFT TP
08000
4427.8
66/1·67.00
SP
1214
J: Leigh Roche · T: Thomas Cleary · draw 7
4yo · F · chtp
67007
4027.3
40/1·41.00
SP
135
J: Paddy Harnett(5) · T: M J Byrne · draw 3
5yo · G · bp
20480
5633.3
17/2·9.50
SP
7
J: Sadhbh Tormey(7) · T: T G McCourt · draw 6
7yo · M · bp
74562
5434.3
J: Luke McAteer · T: Keith Henry Clarke · draw 11
8yo · G · bt
70067
4026.6

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:48 Dundalk (AW) on 26 May 2026?

Grey Fable (IRE) won the 19:48 Dundalk (AW) at SP 23.00. Ridden by Ben Coen. Trained by Karl Thornton.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:48 Dundalk (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Copper Craft) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 19:48 Dundalk (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Grey Fable (IRE) (23.00), 2. Copper Craft (IRE) (2.20), 3. Chopsticks (IRE) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:48 Dundalk (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 36.79s, 6.79s slower than standard.

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