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17:27 Fairyhouse

Ireland

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden

1m2f · Flat · Good · 7 runners · €11,780 · Thursday, 28 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Guardian Of Realm (GB)
    Colin Keane·G M Lyons
    8/1·9.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Mai Dahlia (IRE)
    J M Sheridan·Joseph Patrick O'Brien·beaten 6 lengths
    EvensF·2.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Mathoura (IRE)AI top pick · 49.9
    Shane Foley·Mrs John Harrington·beaten 2 lengths
    5/2·3.50
    SP
Race time
2m 10.27s+4.47s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Guardian Of Realm (GB))

Made all - took keen hold - went clear from under 3f out - ridden and ran on well from under 2f out - pushed out

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Mai Dahlia

After a very promising Naas debut effort MAI DAHLIA (nap) could take plenty of beating now upped in trip

Forecast 6/4 Mai Dahlia, 11/4 Mathoura, 100/30 Mandara Mist, 13/2 Guardian Of Realm, 12/1 Purely, 50/1 Monamie, Six Wings

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Mathoura

Shane Foley · Mrs John Harrington · 3yo

Top-rated of 7
score 49.9 · +1.7 clear of next best (48.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    23d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    78strong
    Last 6: 2
  • Ratings50% weight
    39below average
    RPR 85 · TS 31
  • Trainer20% weight
    25weak
    Mrs John Harrington: 3/29 winners last 14d (10%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Fairyhouse 1m2f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.30
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.75
High (6–7)
IV 0.91

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 34 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Colin Keane · T: G M Lyons · draw 1
3yo · F · bh
3226
7748.2
8/1·9.00
SP
22
3yo · F · bt
3
46.2
EvensF·2.00
SP
34
J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 7
3yo · F · b
2
49.9
5/2·3.50
SP
46
J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 5
3yo · F · bb
770
6943.1
8/1·9.00
SP
53
J: W J Lee · T: P Twomey · draw 4
3yo · F · btFT T
18.5
13/2·7.50
SP
67
J: Robert Whearty · T: Paul W Flynn · draw 3
3yo · F · cht
09
24.0
400/1·401.00
SP
75
J: Leigh Roche · T: Paul W Flynn · draw 2
3yo · F · b
0
20.8
400/1·401.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:27 Fairyhouse on 28 May 2026?

Guardian Of Realm (GB) won the 17:27 Fairyhouse at SP 9.00. Ridden by Colin Keane. Trained by G M Lyons.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:27 Fairyhouse?

No — the AI top pick (Mathoura) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 17:27 Fairyhouse?

Top finishers: 1. Guardian Of Realm (GB) (9.00), 2. Mai Dahlia (IRE) (2.00), 3. Mathoura (IRE) (3.50).

What was the winning time for the 17:27 Fairyhouse?

The winning time was 2m 10.27s, 4.47s slower than standard.

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