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RacingAlpha

19:00 Leopardstown

IrelandFeature

Ballycorus Stakes (Group 3)

7f · Flat · Class 1 · Soft · 7 runners · €41,230 · Thursday, 11 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Native Warrior (GB)
    James Doyle·K R Burke
    6/4F·2.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Audience (GB)
    Colin Keane·David O'Meara·beaten .75 lengths
    28/1·29.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Redemption Road (GB)
    Robbie Colgan·David Marnane·beaten .75 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
Race time
1m 35.03s+7.63s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Oh Cecelia

Shane Foley · K J Condon · 3yo

Top-rated of 7
score 67.7 · +2.5 clear of next best (65.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    25d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    70strong
    Last 6: 6-1-5-1-3-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    67strong
    OR 101
  • Trainer20% weight
    50small sample (n=5)
    K J Condon: 1/5 winners last 14d (20%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Leopardstown 7f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.16
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.88
High (7–8)
IV 0.94

Today: Oh Cecelia (draw 1) and East Hampton (draw 3) get the bias; Native Warrior (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 180 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: James Doyle · T: K R Burke · draw 4
5yo · G · bv
11527
11065.0
6/4F·2.50
SP
21
J: Colin Keane · T: David O'Meara · draw 5
7yo · G · bp
30009
10252.7
28/1·29.00
SP
37
J: Robbie Colgan · T: David Marnane · draw 2
3yo · G · b
28336
10050.1
12/1·13.00
SP
45
J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 6
4yo · G · b
013
10353.5
14/1·15.00
SP
53
J: Luke McAteer · T: David Marnane · draw 3
4yo · G · b
52602
10951.3
4/1·5.00
SP
62
4yo · F · b
40217
10361.4
11/4·3.75
SP
76
J: Ronan Whelan · T: Henry De Bromhead · draw 7
4yo · F · b
34581
10065.2
8/1·9.00
SP
——
J: Shane Foley · T: K J Condon · draw 1
3yo · F · chh
615132
10167.7—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:00 Leopardstown on 11 June 2026?

Native Warrior (GB) won the 19:00 Leopardstown at SP 2.50. Ridden by James Doyle. Trained by K R Burke.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:00 Leopardstown?

No — the AI top pick (Oh Cecelia) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 19:00 Leopardstown?

Top finishers: 1. Native Warrior (GB) (2.50), 2. Audience (GB) (29.00), 3. Redemption Road (GB) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:00 Leopardstown?

The winning time was 1m 35.03s, 7.63s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org