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RacingAlpha

14:44 Listowel

Ireland

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden (IRE Incentive Race)

6½f · Flat · Good · 8 runners · €12,958 · Sunday, 31 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Beibhinn (IRE)
    Declan McDonogh·Joseph Patrick O'Brien
    5/2·3.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Big Negotiator (GB)AI top pick · 54.7
    W J Lee·P Twomey·beaten .5 lengths
    11/8F·2.38
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Madam Secretary (IRE)
    Jack Cleary·A P O'Brien·beaten 4.5 lengths
    6/1·7.00
    SP
Race time
1m 21.10s+0.60s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Beibhinn (IRE))

“Led but pestered - headed over 1f out - soon ridden and rallied - led again towards finish - kept on”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.38 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Big Negotiator

The market will be the best guide, but BIG NEGOTIATOR made a promising debut and should be suited by this trip

Forecast 5/2 Citrus Springs, 9/4 Big Negotiator, Madam Secretary, 8/1 Beibhinn, 18/1 Exchange Student, 25/1 Damsel In Distress, Sister Nancy, 40/1 Stellar Path

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Big Negotiator

W J Lee · P Twomey · 2yo

Top-rated of 8
score 54.7 · +11.0 clear of next best (43.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    15d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    60average
    Last 6: 3
  • Ratings50% weight
    51average
    RPR 83 · TS 71 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    35below average
    P Twomey: 2/14 winners last 14d (14%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Listowel 6½f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.20).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.20
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.02
High (7–8)
IV 0.77

Today: Beibhinn (draw 2) and Citrus Springs (draw 3) get the bias; Big Negotiator (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 51 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
Beibhinn
J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 2
2yo · F · b
4
—43.7
5/2·3.50
SP
22
Big Negotiator
J: W J Lee · T: P Twomey · draw 7
2yo · F · b
3
—54.7
11/8F·2.38
SP
36
Madam Secretary
J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: A P O'Brien · draw 6
2yo · F · b
——27.5
6/1·7.00
SP
47
Sister Nancy
J: Nathan Crosse · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 1
2yo · F · chhFT H
——15.0
33/1·34.00
SP
54
Damsel In Distress
J: Scott McCullagh · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 8
2yo · F · b
——15.0
28/1·29.00
SP
63
Citrus Springs
J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 3
2yo · F · br
——20.0
6/1·7.00
SP
75
Exchange Student
J: Seamie Heffernan · T: J A Stack · draw 4
2yo · F · b
——15.0
17/2·9.50
SP
88
Stellar Path
J: Leigh Roche · T: Kieran P Cotter · draw 5
2yo · F · ch
9
—19.4
66/1·67.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:44 Listowel on 31 May 2026?

Beibhinn (IRE) won the 14:44 Listowel at SP 3.50. Ridden by Declan McDonogh. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:44 Listowel?

No — the AI top pick (Big Negotiator) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 14:44 Listowel?

Top finishers: 1. Beibhinn (IRE) (3.50), 2. Big Negotiator (GB) (2.38), 3. Madam Secretary (IRE) (7.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:44 Listowel?

The winning time was 1m 21.10s, 0.60s slower than standard.

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