What time is the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden (IRE Incentive Race)?
The Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden (IRE Incentive Race) is off at 14:44 on 31 May 2026 at Listowel (Ireland).
← All racecards14:44
Listowel
IrelandIrish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden (IRE Incentive Race)
Sunday, 31 May 2026
6½f·Flat·Yielding·8 runners·€12,958
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.053.7/100 rating
Big Negotiator
3.00Bet365· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Each-way44.2/100 rating
Beibhinn
4.50Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
Big Negotiator
W J Lee · P Twomey · 2yo
53.7/100
+9.5 vs next best (44.2)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong15d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight60averageLast 6: 3
- Ratings50% weight51averageRPR 83 · TS 71 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight30weakP Twomey: 2/17 winners last 14d (12%)
MarketBest price 3.00 (Bet365) — market favourite. AI agrees with the market.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Pace map
inferred from last 6 runsShape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.
- Front-runners(0)—
- Prominent(0)—
- Mid-division(0)—
- Hold-up / closers(1)
- Unknown(7)
Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.
Runners
| # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | Best price | Add to betslip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2yo · F · b | 4 | 9-02 | — | 76 | 51 | 44.2 | 4.5·4.50Betfair Exchange | ||
| 2 | 7 | 2yo · F · b | 3 | 9-02 | — | 83 | 71 | 53.7 | 2/1·3.00Bet365 | ||
| 3 | 3 | 2yo · F · br | — | 9-02 | — | — | — | 20.5 | 7/2·4.50Bet365 | ||
| 4 | 8 | 2yo · F · b | — | 9-02 | — | — | — | 15.0 | 33/1·34.00Bet365 | ||
| 5 | 4 | 2yo · F · b | — | 9-02 | — | — | — | 22.0 | 16/1·17.00Bet365 | ||
| 6 | 6 | 2yo · F · b | — | 9-02 | — | — | — | 25.5 | 3.7·3.70Betfair Exchange | ||
| 7 | 1 | 2yo · F · chhFT H | — | 9-02 | — | — | — | 15.0 | 50/1·51.00BetWright | ||
| 8 | 5 | 2yo · F · ch | 9 | 9-02 | — | 44 | 23 | 19.4 | 80/1·81.00Bet365 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the field size and distance of the 14:44 Listowel?
6½f, Flat, 8 runners declared.
What is the going for the 14:44 Listowel?
Going is reported as Yielding on Turf.
What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:44 Listowel?
The AI top-rated runner is Big Negotiator (score 53.7, best price 3.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.
Who is the favourite for the 14:44 Listowel?
The market favourite is Big Negotiator at a best price of 3.00.
Betting forecast
Formbook5/2 Citrus Springs, 9/4 Big Negotiator, Madam Secretary, 8/1 Beibhinn, 18/1 Exchange Student, 25/1 Damsel In Distress, Sister Nancy, 40/1 Stellar Path
Formbook's pre-race odds estimate — not market prices.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org