Who won the 15:10 Carlisle on 30 May 2026?
Estrange (IRE) won the 15:10 Carlisle at SP 1.73. Ridden by Daniel Tudhope. Trained by David O'Meara.
← All racecards15:10
Carlisle
Great BritainBetway Lester Piggott Fillies' Stakes (Group 3) (Formerly Known As The Pinnacle Stakes)
Saturday, 30 May 2026
1m3f·Flat·Class 1·Good To Firm·7 runners·£70,888
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stEstrange (IRE)Daniel Tudhope·David O'Meara8/11F·1.73SP
- 2ndWaardah (IRE)Callum Rodriguez·Owen Burrows·beaten 1.5 lengths4/1·5.00SP
- 3rdCoedana (IRE)Rossa Ryan·Edward Bethell·beaten 2.5 lengths12/1·13.00SP
Race time
2m 22.58s+0.18s vs std
On standard — typical pace for the course/distance.
In-running (Estrange (IRE))
“In touch with leaders - headway over 2f out - led under 2f out - soon pushed along - comfortably”
AI top-rated Naga (score 69.7) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 10.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.069.7/100 rating
Naga
13.00talkSPORT BET· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Each-way69.7/100 rating
Naga
13.00talkSPORT BET
Place portion settles at 4.00 · 1/4 odds · 2 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
Naga
James Doyle · John & Thady Gosden · 4yo
69.7/100
+0.3 vs next best (69.4)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong21d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight82very strongLast 6: 5-1-1-1-3
- Ratings50% weight63averageOR 86 · RPR 106 · TS 90
- Trainer20% weight60averageJohn & Thady Gosden: 7/29 winners last 14d (24%)
MarketBest price 13.00 (talkSPORT BET) — 4th pick of 7 in market. AI is contrarian here.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners
| Pos | # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1 | 8 | 4yo · F · b | 14115 | 9-02 | 110 | 124 | 96 | 66.5 | 15/2·8.50 SP | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 4yo · F · b | 31132 | 9-02 | 96 | 110 | 78 | 62.9 | 12/1·13.00 SP | |
| 5 | 3 | 4 | 4yo · F · bpFT P | 22235 | 9-02 | 103 | 120 | 114 | 69.4 | 16/1·17.00 SP | |
| 1 | 4 | 2 | 5yo · M · gr | 1122 | 9-02 | 116 | 129 | 123 | 64.3 | 8/11F·1.73 SP | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 4yo · F · ch | 51113 | 9-02 | 86 | 106 | 90 | 69.7 | 10/1·11.00 SP | |
| 7 | 6 | 7 | 4yo · F · b | 13021 | 9-02 | 84 | 100 | 82 | 60.8 | 66/1·67.00 SP | |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 4yo · F · b | 4118 | 9-02 | 107 | 124 | 102 | 60.7 | 4/1·5.00 SP | |
| — | — | 5 | 4yo · F · b | 71427 | 9-02 | 96 | 112 | 82 | 59.5 | — |
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:10 Carlisle?
No — the AI top pick (Naga) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 15:10 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. Estrange (IRE) (1.73), 2. Waardah (IRE) (5.00), 3. Coedana (IRE) (13.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:10 Carlisle?
The winning time was 2m 22.58s, on standard time.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyLast year's winner Estrange commands major respect but the race-fit AZANIYA may represent a bit of value.
Racing Post pick: Azaniya
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
Betting forecast
Formbook10/11 Estrange, 9/2 Waardah, 6/1 Azaniya, 9/1 Crepe Suzette, 12/1 Coedana, 14/1 Sharpen, 16/1 Naga, 40/1 Patagonia Girl
Formbook's pre-race odds estimate — not market prices.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org