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RacingAlpha

15:45 Carlisle

Betway Silver Bowl Handicap (Heritage Handicap)

1m · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 14 runners · £51,540 · Saturday, 30 May 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Blue Courvoisier (GB)
    Saffie Osborne·Clive Cox
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Langstone (GB)
    Rob Hornby·Clive Cox·beaten 1.5 lengths
    11/2·6.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Crest Of Fire (IRE)
    David Probert·Jack Channon·beaten .5 lengths
    100/30·4.33
    SP
Race time
1m 37.51s+0.71s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Blue Courvoisier (GB))

Prominent - led after 1f - ridden 2f out - kept on well final furlong

AI top-rated Princling (score 68.0) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Langstone

Astrazar, Laureate Crown, Crest Of Fire and Princling are players but LANGSTONE (nap) has left a very good impression.

Forecast 3/1 Princling, 4/1 Langstone, 5/1 Crest Of Fire, 15/2 Laureate Crown, 11/1 Archer Royal, 12/1 Blue Courvoisier, 14/1 Inishbeg, 16/1 Daydreama, Lake Como, 18/1 Astrazar, Delinquent, 25/1 Suspended Sentence, Sponsor, 33/1 Synners Kid, 40/1 Sir Albert, Special Dividend

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Princling

Tom Marquand · William Haggas · 3yo

Top-rated of 14
score 68.0 · +1.1 clear of next best (66.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    89very strong
    Last 6: 2-2-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    34d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    63average
    OR 87 · RPR 113 · TS 85
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    William Haggas: 9/46 winners last 14d (20%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Carlisle 1m

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–6)
IV 1.00
Mid (7–11)
IV 0.83
High (12–16)
IV 1.16

Today: Langstone (draw 12) and Sponsor (draw 16) get the bias; Astrazar (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 96 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
114
J: Saffie Osborne · T: Clive Cox · draw 6
3yo · C · b
1224
8366.3
5/1·6.00
SP
210
J: Rob Hornby · T: Clive Cox · draw 12
3yo · G · gr
511
8765.3
11/2·6.50
SP
311
J: David Probert · T: Jack Channon · draw 7
3yo · G · gr
24321
8653.8
100/30·4.33
SP
49
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 3
3yo · C · b
221
8768.0
2/1F·3.00
SP
516
J: Cam Hardie · T: K R Burke · draw 4
3yo · G · bp
53161
7866.8
28/1·29.00
SP
65
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Lemos De Souza · draw 9
3yo · G · bt
09116
9151.5
33/1·34.00
SP
713
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 10
3yo · G · b
24119
8561.5
20/1·21.00
SP
812
J: Jack Nicholls(5) · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 8
3yo · C · b
82218
8561.5
14/1·15.00
SP
96
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 2
3yo · G · b
83372
9054.6
22/1·23.00
SP
1015
J: Sean D Bowen · T: Brian Meehan · draw 16
3yo · G · bt
943
8063.6
50/1·51.00
SP
114
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Michael Bell · draw 11
3yo · C · b
41145
9353.8
28/1·29.00
SP
121
J: Alfie Redman(7) · T: Andrew Balding · draw 14
3yo · C · br
11395
9954.9
66/1·67.00
SP
138
3yo · G · btFT TFirst after wind op
1137
8751.8
28/1·29.00
SP
143
3yo · G · bpFT P
1377
9758.1
22/1·23.00
SP
J: James Doyle · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 13
3yo · G · b
85611
9862.7
J: NON-RUNNER · T: George Boughey · draw 5
3yo · C · b
11347
8864.1

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:45 Carlisle on 30 May 2026?

Blue Courvoisier (GB) won the 15:45 Carlisle at SP 6.00. Ridden by Saffie Osborne. Trained by Clive Cox.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:45 Carlisle?

No — the AI top pick (Princling) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 15:45 Carlisle?

Top finishers: 1. Blue Courvoisier (GB) (6.00), 2. Langstone (GB) (6.50), 3. Crest Of Fire (IRE) (4.33).

What was the winning time for the 15:45 Carlisle?

The winning time was 1m 37.51s, 0.71s slower than standard.

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