Who won the 16:20 Carlisle on 30 May 2026?
Albaydaa (IRE) won the 16:20 Carlisle at SP 1.80. Ridden by Tom Marquand. Trained by William Haggas.
← All racecards16:20
Carlisle
Great BritainBetway Fillies' Handicap
Saturday, 30 May 2026
7f·Flat·Class 3·Good To Firm·9 runners·£15,702
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 4/5F·1.80Race report
- 1stAlbaydaa (IRE)AI top pick · 64.4Tom Marquand·William Haggas4/5F·1.80SP
- 2ndJust A Girl (GB)Saffie Osborne·Charlie Johnston·beaten 0.3 lengths9/1·10.00SP
- 3rdApplesandpears (GB)Daniel Tudhope·Edward Bethell·beaten .5 lengths7/1·8.00SP
Race time
1m 26.70s+1.90s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
In-running (Albaydaa (IRE))
“In touch with leaders - ridden over 2f out - led over 1f out - hung right and faced challenges inside final furlong - just did enough”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.80 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.064.4/100 rating
Albaydaa
1.84Betfair Exchange· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Each-way55.9/100 rating
Applesandpears
10.50Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
Albaydaa
Tom Marquand · William Haggas · 3yo
64.4/100
+2.3 vs next best (62.1)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong22d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight76strongLast 6: 3-2-1-3-2
- Ratings50% weight58averageOR 84 · RPR 93 · TS 85 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight50averageWilliam Haggas: 9/46 winners last 14d (20%)
MarketBest price 1.84 (Betfair Exchange) — market favourite. AI agrees with the market.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners
| Pos | # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1 | 3 | 4yo · F · b | 65066 | 10-02 | 89 | 90 | 56 | 36.6 | 16/1·17.00 SP | |
| 9 | 2 | 4 | 4yo · F · bt | 17546 | 9-12 | 85 | 91 | 73 | 55.8 | 16/1·17.00 SP | |
| 4 | 3 | 2 | 5yo · M · b | 90978 | 9-04 | 77 | 91 | 74 | 46.7 | 18/1·19.00 SP | |
| 6 | 4 | 7 | 3yo · F · b | 31152 | 9-03 | 87 | 89 | 72 | 55.3 | 9/1·10.00 SP | |
| 8 | 5 | 6 | 5yo · M · bht | 232179 | 9-01 | 74 | 87 | 35 | 47.3 | 40/1·41.00 SP | |
| 3 | 6 | 1 | 3yo · F · b | 2118 | 9-00 | 84 | 91 | 64 | 55.9 | 7/1·8.00 SP | |
| 1 | 7 | 8 | 3yo · F · ch | 32132 | 9-00 | 84 | 93 | 85 | 64.4 | 4/5F·1.80 SP | |
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 3yo · F · b | 07342 | 8-12 | 82 | 92 | 67 | 52.7 | 9/1·10.00 SP | |
| 5 | 9 | 9 | 3yo · F · chh | 13 | 8-06 | 76 | 91 | 80 | 62.1 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:20 Carlisle?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Albaydaa, won the race (AI score 64.4).
What were the placings in the 16:20 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. Albaydaa (IRE) (1.80), 2. Just A Girl (GB) (10.00), 3. Applesandpears (GB) (8.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:20 Carlisle?
The winning time was 1m 26.70s, 1.90s slower than standard.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyThis looks less complicated for ALBAYDAA than her first two handicaps this year and she should be able to take advantage.
Racing Post pick: Albaydaa
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
Betting forecast
Formbook11/10 Albaydaa, 4/1 Distant Shore, 6/1 Lady Kodiac, 10/1 Orchid, Just A Girl, 16/1 Jannas Journey, Ziggy's Queen, Applesandpears, 25/1 Fouette
Formbook's pre-race odds estimate — not market prices.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org