17:30 Leopardstown

Ireland

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden (IRE Incentive Race)

7f · Flat · Soft · 10 runners · €12,958 · Thursday, 4 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd

1st
Blonde Over Blue (GB)
Dylan Browne McMonagle·Joseph Patrick O'Brien
6/1·7.00
SP
2nd
Alpha (IRE)
Wayne Lordan·A P O'Brien·beaten .75 lengths
2/1J·3.00
SP
3rd
Margot Mae (IRE)AI top pick · 30.7
Shane Foley·Mrs John Harrington·beaten 0.3 lengths
10/1·11.00
SP

Race time

1m 35.36s+7.76s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Blonde Over Blue (GB))

“Took keen hold - prominent - ridden and led up the centre 1f out - kept on final 110yds”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 10.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Ibelieveicanfly

Ballydoyle have won the last 3 runnings and Ryan Moore's decision to partner the Frankel filly IBELIEVEICANFLY is likely significant

Forecast 15/8 Ibelieveicanfly, 100/30 Blonde Over Blue, 9/2 Alpine Wedding, 13/2 Alpha, 10/1 Honey Deuce, 12/1 Margot Mae, 16/1 Carafinn, 20/1 Westminster Waltz, 33/1 Littlepacer, Pink Venom, 50/1 Chiquitita Bee

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Margot Mae

Shane Foley · Mrs John Harrington · 2yo

Top-rated of 10

score 30.7 · +2.2 clear of next best (28.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
40d since last run (fresh)
Ratings50% weight
27weak
RPR 66 · TS 16 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
23weak
Mrs John Harrington: 3/33 winners last 14d (9%)
Form20% weight
20weak
Last 6: 6

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Leopardstown 7f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–4)

IV 1.16

Mid (5–8)

IV 0.88

High (9–11)

IV 0.94

Today: Alpha (draw 1) and Blonde Over Blue (draw 2) get the bias; Margot Mae (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 180 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	3	Blonde Over Blue J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 2 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	23.0	6/1·7.00 SP
2	1	Alpha J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 1 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	28.5	2/1J·3.00 SP
3	9	Margot Mae J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 8 2yo · F · ch	6	9-02	—	66	16	30.7	10/1·11.00 SP
4	7	Ibelieveicanfly J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 11 2yo · F · ch	—	9-02	—	—	—	28.5	2/1J·3.00 SP
5	2	Alpine Wedding J: W J Lee · T: P Twomey · draw 10 2yo · F · ch	—	9-02	—	—	—	21.5	5/1·6.00 SP
6	6	Honey Deuce J: Seamie Heffernan · T: J A Stack · draw 4 2yo · F · gr	—	9-02	—	—	—	15.0	14/1·15.00 SP
7	10	Pink Venom J: Jamie Powell · T: J P Murtagh · draw 6 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	17.0	80/1·81.00 SP
8	8	Littlepacer J: Yudish Geerdharry(7) · T: J P Murtagh · draw 5 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	17.0	80/1·81.00 SP
9	11	Westminster Waltz J: Gary Carroll · T: A Oliver · draw 7 2yo · F · ch	—	9-02	—	—	—	17.5	33/1·34.00 SP
10	5	Chiquitita Bee J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 3 2yo · F · b	9	9-02	—	15	—	16.2	250/1·251.00 SP
—	—	Carafinn J: Ronan Whelan · T: Henry De Bromhead · draw 9 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	28.5	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:30 Leopardstown on 4 June 2026?

Blonde Over Blue (GB) won the 17:30 Leopardstown at SP 7.00. Ridden by Dylan Browne McMonagle. Trained by Joseph Patrick O'Brien.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:30 Leopardstown?

No — the AI top pick (Margot Mae) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 17:30 Leopardstown?

Top finishers: 1. Blonde Over Blue (GB) (7.00), 2. Alpha (IRE) (3.00), 3. Margot Mae (IRE) (11.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:30 Leopardstown?

The winning time was 1m 35.36s, 7.76s slower than standard.

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