What time is the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden (IRE Incentive Race)?
The Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden (IRE Incentive Race) is off at 17:30 on 4 June 2026 at Leopardstown (Ireland).
← All racecards17:30
Leopardstown
IrelandIrish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden (IRE Incentive Race)
Thursday, 4 June 2026
7f·Flat·Yielding·11 runners·€12,958
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Selections by model
Head-to-head dashboard →v1.030.7/100 rating
Margot Mae
17.00Bet Victor· informational only
Top-rated, but filter rejects this race
v1.1
No pick
Race outside the segment-edge filter
Each-way28.5/100 rating
Alpha
6.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 2.00 · 1/5 odds · 3 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Racing Alpha pick
Margot Mae
Shane Foley · Mrs John Harrington · 2yo
30.7/100
+2.2 vs next best (28.5)
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong40d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight27weakRPR 66 · TS 16 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight23weakMrs John Harrington: 3/33 winners last 14d (9%)
- Form20% weight20weakLast 6: 6
MarketBest price 17.00 (Bet Victor) — 6th pick of 11 in market. AI is contrarian here.
v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Pace map
inferred from last 6 runsShape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.
- Front-runners(0)—
- Prominent(1)
- Mid-division(0)—
- Hold-up / closers(0)—
- Unknown(10)
Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.
Runners
| # | Dr | Horse | Jockey / Trainer | Form | Wt | OR | RPR | TS | AI | Best price | Add to betslip |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 2yo · F · b | — | 9-02 | — | — | — | 28.5 | 5/1·6.00Bet365 | ||
| 2 | 10 | 2yo · F · ch | — | 9-02 | — | — | — | 21.5 | 3.9·3.90Betfair Exchange | ||
| 3 | 2 | 2yo · F · b | — | 9-02 | — | — | — | 23.0 | 13/2·7.50Bet365 | ||
| 4 | 9 | 2yo · F · b | — | 9-02 | — | — | — | 28.5 | 20/1·21.00Bet365 | ||
| 5 | 3 | 2yo · F · b | 9 | 9-02 | — | 15 | — | 16.2 | 150/1·151.00talkSPORT BET | ||
| 6 | 4 | 2yo · F · gr | — | 9-02 | — | — | — | 15.0 | 11/1·12.00Bet365 | ||
| 7 | 11 | 2yo · F · ch | — | 9-02 | — | — | — | 28.5 | 6/4·2.50Bet365 | ||
| 8 | 5 | 2yo · F · b | — | 9-02 | — | — | — | 17.0 | 66/1·67.00Bet365 | ||
| 9 | 8 | 2yo · F · ch | 6 | 9-02 | — | 66 | 16 | 30.7 | 16/1·17.00Bet Victor | ||
| 10 | 6 | 2yo · F · b | — | 9-02 | — | — | — | 17.0 | 33/1·34.00Betano | ||
| 11 | 7 | 2yo · F · ch | — | 9-02 | — | — | — | 17.5 | 50/1·51.00Bet365 |
Frequently asked questions
What is the field size and distance of the 17:30 Leopardstown?
7f, Flat, 11 runners declared.
What is the going for the 17:30 Leopardstown?
Going is reported as Yielding on Turf.
What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:30 Leopardstown?
The AI top-rated runner is Margot Mae (score 30.7, best price 17.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.
Who is the favourite for the 17:30 Leopardstown?
The market favourite is Ibelieveicanfly at a best price of 2.50. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Margot Mae.
Racing Post verdict
Third-partyBallydoyle have won the last 3 runnings and Ryan Moore's decision to partner the Frankel filly IBELIEVEICANFLY is likely significant
Racing Post pick: Ibelieveicanfly
Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.
Betting forecast
Formbook15/8 Ibelieveicanfly, 100/30 Blonde Over Blue, 9/2 Alpine Wedding, 13/2 Alpha, 10/1 Honey Deuce, 12/1 Margot Mae, 16/1 Carafinn, 20/1 Westminster Waltz, 33/1 Littlepacer, Pink Venom, 50/1 Chiquitita Bee
Formbook's pre-race odds estimate — not market prices.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org