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19:00 Leopardstown

Ireland

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Median Auction Fillies Maiden

1m2f · Flat · Soft · 12 runners · €11,780 · Thursday, 4 June 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 9th
  1. 1st
    My Girl Grace (IRE)
    Gary Carroll·G M Lyons
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Bang Bang (IRE)
    Colin Keane·Noel Meade·beaten 1.25 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Stellar Moment (IRE)
    Ronan Whelan·John S O'Donoghue·beaten 1 length
    50/1·51.00
    SP
Race time
2m 16.36s+10.76s vs std

Markedly slow — strong soft ground or a deeply tactical race.

In-running (My Girl Grace (IRE))

Midfield - headway from over 2f out - switched left under 2f out - soon challenging - ridden to lead and ran on well final 110yds

AI top-rated Fleur De Provence (score 68.4) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Fleur De Provence

By Gleneagles out of a Ribblesdale winner FLEUR DE PROVENCE (nap) can prosper on this first attempt beyond one mile

Forecast 11/8 Fleur De Provence, 4/1 Lake Bonney, 5/1 Bang Bang, Mawhibah, 10/1 My Girl Grace, Shanala, 12/1 Churchfield Lady, 14/1 Freedom And Light, 20/1 Donna Time, 25/1 Ventriloquist, 33/1 Path To Peace, Stellar Moment, 66/1 Tintinabulla, 100/1 An Cailleach

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Fleur De Provence

Chris Hayes · D K Weld · 3yo

Top-rated of 12
score 68.4 · +23.4 clear of next best (45.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=4)
    D K Weld: 2/4 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    15d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    78strong
    Last 6: 2-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    46below average
    OR 80 · RPR 81 · TS 44 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Leopardstown 1m2f

full course data →

Strong: middle favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–5)
IV 1.12
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.24
High (11–14)
IV 0.64

Today: My Girl Grace (draw 7) and Churchfield Lady (draw 8) get the bias; Fleur De Provence (draw 12) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 113 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
19
J: Gary Carroll · T: G M Lyons · draw 7
3yo · F · b
35.0
9/2·5.50
SP
22
J: Colin Keane · T: Noel Meade · draw 4
3yo · F · ch
552
45.0
3/1·4.00
SP
312
J: Ronan Whelan · T: John S O'Donoghue · draw 10
3yo · F · b
6
16.2
50/1·51.00
SP
411
J: Seamie Heffernan · T: J P Murtagh · draw 14
3yo · F · b
5
29.7
4/1·5.00
SP
58
3yo · F · gr
23.0
12/1·13.00
SP
64
J: Rory Cleary · T: C W J Farrell · draw 11
3yo · F · b
7
28.2
33/1·34.00
SP
76
J: Declan McDonogh · T: J S Bolger · draw 3
3yo · F · ch
9846
7133.6
50/1·51.00
SP
813
J: Robbie Colgan · T: Ms Sheila Lavery · draw 13
3yo · F · bh
0
22.0
150/1·151.00
SP
95
J: Chris Hayes · T: D K Weld · draw 12
3yo · F · b
22
8068.4
5/4F·2.25
SP
1010
J: W J Lee · T: W McCreery · draw 6
3yo · F · bvFT V
9
26.0
80/1·81.00
SP
1114
3yo · F · b
15.0
150/1·151.00
SP
121
4yo · F · ch
0
8.5
300/1·301.00
SP
J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 8
3yo · F · b
7
27.2
3yo · F · b
4
37.5

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:00 Leopardstown on 4 June 2026?

My Girl Grace (IRE) won the 19:00 Leopardstown at SP 5.50. Ridden by Gary Carroll. Trained by G M Lyons.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:00 Leopardstown?

No — the AI top pick (Fleur De Provence) finished 9.

What were the placings in the 19:00 Leopardstown?

Top finishers: 1. My Girl Grace (IRE) (5.50), 2. Bang Bang (IRE) (4.00), 3. Stellar Moment (IRE) (51.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:00 Leopardstown?

The winning time was 2m 16.36s, 10.76s slower than standard.

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