Who won the 16:15 Southwell (AW) on 5 July 2026?
Naana's Sparkle (GB) won the 16:15 Southwell (AW) at SP 7.00. Ridden by Kieran O'Neill. Trained by Lemos De Souza.
16:15 Southwell (AW)
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5f · Flat · Class 3 · Standard · 9 runners · £7,851 · Sunday, 5 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 9thRace report
- 1stNaana's Sparkle (GB)Kieran O'Neill·Lemos De Souza6/1·7.00SP
- 2ndRapper's Delight (GB)Saffie Osborne·Richard Spencer·beaten 0.3 lengths10/3·4.33SP
- 3rdCanon's House (GB)Billy Garritty·Michael & David Easterby·beaten 1.5 lengths4/1·5.00SP
Race time
57.12s+0.82s vs std
Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.
AI top-rated Buzz Box (score 68.4) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 16.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way58.7/100 rating
Naana's Sparkle
8.20Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Buzz Box
Buzz Box tops our ratings and has shown he handles a return from a break well, making the 164-day absence less of a concern; he is at his best at this distance on AW. Naana's Sparkle and Alligator Alley are the chief dangers, both capable and well-treated, while Kylian is a further threat. Buzz Box is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Buzz Box
Jason Hart · Michael Herrington · 5yo
Top-rated of 9
score 68.4 · +9.6 clear of next best (58.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=9)Michael Herrington: 4/9 winners last 14d (44%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Form20% weight71strongLast 6: 5-1-1-4
- Freshness10% weight65strong164d since last run (rusty)
- Ratings50% weight55averageOR 83
MarketBest price 21.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 7th in the market of 9.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 5f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 1.09
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.96
High (7–9)
IV 0.94
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 436 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Lemos De Souza · draw 7 4yo · G · bt | 13614 | 89 | 58.7 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard Spencer · draw 3 4yo · G · bv | 15299 | 87 | 48.0 | 10/3·4.33 SP |
| 3 | 6 | J: Billy Garritty · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 9 5yo · G · b | 62506 | 86 | 45.5 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 4 | 9 | J: Cam Hardie · T: Antony Brittain · draw 1 4yo · G · chp | 28004 | 79 | 40.6 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: Rob Hornby · T: Andrew Balding · draw 8 4yo · G · bvFirst after wind op | 09830 | 91 | 49.1 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: Jamie Spencer · T: Robert Cowell · draw 4 5yo · G · bb | 530708 | 94 | 50.9 | 3/1F·4.00 SP |
| 7 | 8 | J: Jack Callan(3) · T: Robert Cowell · draw 5 5yo · G · bp | 17226 | 80 | 51.5 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 8 | 3 | J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Ruth Carr · draw 6 9yo · G · b | 11369 | 89 | 52.5 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 9 | 7 | J: Jason Hart · T: Michael Herrington · draw 2 5yo · G · b | 5114 | 83 | 68.4 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:15 Southwell (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Buzz Box) finished 9.
What were the placings in the 16:15 Southwell (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Naana's Sparkle (GB) (7.00), 2. Rapper's Delight (GB) (4.33), 3. Canon's House (GB) (5.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:15 Southwell (AW)?
The winning time was 57.12s, 0.82s slower than standard.
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