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RacingAlpha

15:40 Thirsk

Weatherbys Racing Bank Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m4f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £5,234 · Wednesday, 1 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th
  1. 1st
    Parisian Scholar (GB)
    Jason Hart·Charlie Johnston
    9/1·10.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Yafreh (GB)
    Shane Gray·Richard & Peter Fahey·beaten .75 lengths
    8/1·9.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Temple (GB)
    Harry Davies·Jane Chapple-Hyam·beaten .5 lengths
    9/4·3.25
    SP
Race time
2m 36.14s+4.44s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Parisian Scholar (GB))

Raced in touch - driven to the front over 2f out - held on

AI top-rated York Tower (score 57.9) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: York Tower

York Tower shaped with promise at Epsom on his handicap debut, staying on late over a shorter trip in a performance that suggests this step up to twelve furlongs will suit him, and he tops our figures in a wide-open affair. Temple and Asia Force both have strong cases — the former ran solidly on his handicap introduction, the latter looks set to relish the extra distance — while Yafreh arrives with untapped potential on his handicap debut. York Tower is our selection, though this looks genuinely competitive.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

York Tower

Tom Marquand · William Haggas · 3yo

Top-rated of 5
score 57.9 · +2.7 clear of next best (55.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    25d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    59average
    Last 6: 2-2-3-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    52average
    OR 78 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    William Haggas: 11/56 winners last 14d (20%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Thirsk 1m4f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 0.71
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.49
High (5–5)
IV 0.87

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 35 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
J: Jason Hart · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 5
3yo · G · b
23704
7445.4
9/1·10.00
SP
23
3yo · C · b
442
7752.0
8/1·9.00
SP
34
J: Harry Davies · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 4
3yo · C · b
6363
7653.6
9/4·3.25
SP
41
J: Clifford Lee · T: K R Burke · draw 2
3yo · C · b
2223
7855.2
11/4·3.75
SP
52
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 1
3yo · G · b
2234
7857.9
2/1F·3.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:40 Thirsk on 1 July 2026?

Parisian Scholar (GB) won the 15:40 Thirsk at SP 10.00. Ridden by Jason Hart. Trained by Charlie Johnston.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:40 Thirsk?

No — the AI top pick (York Tower) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 15:40 Thirsk?

Top finishers: 1. Parisian Scholar (GB) (10.00), 2. Yafreh (GB) (9.00), 3. Temple (GB) (3.25).

What was the winning time for the 15:40 Thirsk?

The winning time was 2m 36.14s, 4.44s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org