18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

17:00 Ayr

25% Off Lunch At Western House Hotel Handicap

6f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 13 runners · £4,187 · Monday, 6 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 10th
  1. 1st
    White Ladder (IRE)
    Sean D Bowen·John Ryan
    4/1C·5.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Maynora (GB)
    Clifford Lee·Craig Lidster·beaten 2.25 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Henery Hawk (GB)
    Kaiya Fraser·Linda Perratt·beaten 1.75 lengths
    33/1·34.00
    SP
Race time
1m 11.45s+2.45s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (White Ladder (IRE))

Settled in mid-division - made ground 2f out and soon shifted left - found more between rivals when short of room inside the final furlong - soon in front - drew clear for an easy success

AI top-rated Saxon Grace (score 53.9) finished 10th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 16.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way53.9/100 rating
Saxon Grace
13.00Bet365
Place portion settles at 3.40 · 1/5 odds · 4 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Saxon Grace

Cian Horgan(5) · Daragh Bourke · 3yo

Top-rated of 13
score 53.9 · +2.1 clear of next best (51.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=2)
    Daragh Bourke: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    35weak
    OR 52
  • Form20% weight
    33weak
    Last 6: 6-7-4-6-4
MarketBest price 13.00 (Bet365) · 6th in the market of 13.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ayr 6f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–5)
IV 1.24
Mid (6–9)
IV 0.98
High (10–13)
IV 0.75

Today: Keep The Gold (draw 4) and Maynora (draw 2) get the bias; April Diamond (draw 13) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 122 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
J: Sean D Bowen · T: John Ryan · draw 12
3yo · G · gr
27233
6041.8
4/1C·5.00
SP
26
J: Clifford Lee · T: Craig Lidster · draw 2
3yo · G · brp
251445
5739.7
5/1·6.00
SP
31
J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Linda Perratt · draw 3
7yo · G · b
236130
5935.8
33/1·34.00
SP
48
8yo · G · b
09790
4832.1
25/1·26.00
SP
510
J: Ryan Sexton · T: Noel Wilson · draw 1
3yo · G · chp
33433
5238.7
4/1C·5.00
SP
612
J: Joanna Mason · T: Katie Scott · draw 10
4yo · F · b
96592
4536.3
6/1·7.00
SP
77
J: Aiden Brookes · T: R Mike Smith · draw 8
5yo · G · b
07637
5036.1
14/1·15.00
SP
811
J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 9
9yo · G · bb
02684
4533.4
40/1·41.00
SP
93
J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 4
4yo · G · bb
32254
5745.1
4/1C·5.00
SP
109
J: Cian Horgan(5) · T: Daragh Bourke · draw 6
3yo · F · chp
67464
5253.9
16/1·17.00
SP
1113
J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 5
3yo · F · ch
76564
4736.7
25/1·26.00
SP
122
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 11
4yo · G · b
2308
5935.4
25/1·26.00
SP
134
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Iain Jardine · draw 13
5yo · M · b
7652
5651.8
18/1·19.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:00 Ayr on 6 July 2026?

White Ladder (IRE) won the 17:00 Ayr at SP 5.00. Ridden by Sean D Bowen. Trained by John Ryan.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:00 Ayr?

No — the AI top pick (Saxon Grace) finished 10.

What were the placings in the 17:00 Ayr?

Top finishers: 1. White Ladder (IRE) (5.00), 2. Maynora (GB) (6.00), 3. Henery Hawk (GB) (34.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:00 Ayr?

The winning time was 1m 11.45s, 2.45s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org