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RacingAlpha

19:40 Ripon

Mark's Choice, Ripon's Most-Winning Horse Handicap

5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners · £6,185 · Monday, 6 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 7th
  1. 1st
    Reigning Profit (IRE)
    Ray Dawson·Ruth Carr
    10/3·4.33
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Rock Of England (IRE)
    Jason Hart·Paul Midgley·beaten .75 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Mark's Choice (IRE)
    William Pyle·Gemma Tutty·beaten .5 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
Race time
57.97s+0.97s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Reigning Profit (IRE))

“Travelled strongly up with the pace - went clear in front 1f out and was given a squeeze in the final furlong - found more when met by a strong bid and stayed on gamely towards the finish”

AI top-rated Tees Aggregates (score 55.5) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 11.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
Each-way55.5/100 rating
Tees Aggregates
8.00SmarketsSBK

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Tees Aggregates

Jack Nicholls(5) · Adrian Nicholls · 4yo

Top-rated of 9
score 55.5 · +2.1 clear of next best (53.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    63average
    Last 6: 9-4-5-3-3-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    49below average
    OR 73
  • Trainer20% weight
    43small sample (n=6)
    Adrian Nicholls: 1/6 winners last 14d (17%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 8.00 (SmarketsSBK) · 5th in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ripon 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.94
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.15
High (7–9)
IV 0.93

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 162 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
Reigning Profit
J: Ray Dawson · T: Ruth Carr · draw 2
7yo · G · ch
852046
7743.9
10/3·4.33
SP
26
Rock Of England
J: Jason Hart · T: Paul Midgley · draw 5
6yo · G · ch
39131
7251.3
9/2·5.50
SP
37
Mark's Choice
J: William Pyle · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 9
10yo · G · bp
10624
6942.3
11/1·12.00
SP
42
Kodiac Thriller
J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Mark Walford · draw 8
5yo · G · bvFT V
70100
8047.4
4/1·5.00
SP
58
Canaria Queen
J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 6
6yo · M · blp
612215
6851.4
14/1·15.00
SP
69
South Parade
J: Cam Hardie · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 1
5yo · M · b
000749
6137.9
40/1·41.00
SP
75
Tees Aggregates
J: Jack Nicholls(5) · T: Adrian Nicholls · draw 7
4yo · G · b
945331
7355.5
11/1·12.00
SP
81
Goyard
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 3
4yo · G · b
11853
8253.3
3/1F·4.00
SP
94
Vince L'amour
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 4
5yo · G · btp
810067
7543.8
22/1·23.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:40 Ripon on 6 July 2026?

Reigning Profit (IRE) won the 19:40 Ripon at SP 4.33. Ridden by Ray Dawson. Trained by Ruth Carr.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:40 Ripon?

No — the AI top pick (Tees Aggregates) finished 7.

What were the placings in the 19:40 Ripon?

Top finishers: 1. Reigning Profit (IRE) (4.33), 2. Rock Of England (IRE) (5.50), 3. Mark's Choice (IRE) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:40 Ripon?

The winning time was 57.97s, 0.97s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org