18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

18:39 Ripon

Merit Estates Chartered Surveyors Restricted Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

1m · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 5 runners · £4,711 · Monday, 6 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 6/5·2.20
  1. 1st
    Alterity (GB)AI top pick · 47.2
    Jason Hart·Charlie Johnston
    6/5·2.20
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Queen's Hame (GB)
    Tom Marquand·William Haggas·beaten 4.25 lengths
    10/11F·1.91
    SP
  3. 3rd
    War And Love (GB)
    Faye McManoman·Brian Ellison·beaten 8 lengths
    16/1·17.00
    SP
Race time
1m 42.42s+5.32s vs std

Slow — could be soft ground, easy lead, or tactical race.

In-running (Alterity (GB))

Led throughout and travelled eager under a hard gallop early - extended the advantage over 1f out - ran on comfortably - was untroubled at the finish

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.20 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Alterity

Jason Hart · Charlie Johnston · 3yo

Top-rated of 5
score 47.2 · +5.1 clear of next best (42.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    13d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    55average
    Last 6: 5-3-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    47below average
    OR 71 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    28weak
    Charlie Johnston: 8/70 winners last 14d (11%)
MarketBest price 2.32 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 5.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ripon 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 0.90
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.03
High (5–5)
IV 1.08

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 64 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: Jason Hart · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 5
3yo · F · b
533
7147.2
6/5·2.20
SP
22
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 2
3yo · F · b
24.0
10/11F·1.91
SP
31
J: Faye McManoman · T: Brian Ellison · draw 1
4yo · F · b
3259
6342.1
16/1·17.00
SP
45
J: Ray Dawson · T: Andi Brown · draw 3
3yo · F · b
05
14.0
40/1·41.00
SP
54
J: Jack Nicholls(5) · T: Ed de Giles · draw 4
3yo · F · b
15.0
25/1·26.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:39 Ripon on 6 July 2026?

Alterity (GB) won the 18:39 Ripon at SP 2.20. Ridden by Jason Hart. Trained by Charlie Johnston.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:39 Ripon?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Alterity, won the race (AI score 47.2).

What were the placings in the 18:39 Ripon?

Top finishers: 1. Alterity (GB) (2.20), 2. Queen's Hame (GB) (1.91), 3. War And Love (GB) (17.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:39 Ripon?

The winning time was 1m 42.42s, 5.32s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org