18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

16:18 Pontefract

Go Racing Bet With Jayne Handicap

1m · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 9 runners · £5,234 · Tuesday, 7 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 3/1J·4.00
  1. 1st
    Welbury (GB)AI top pick · 56.5
    Daniel Tudhope·Edward Bethell
    3/1J·4.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Harswell Ruby (IRE)
    Joanna Mason·Roger Fell·beaten .5 lengths
    3/1J·4.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Sailthisshipalone (GB)
    Jason Hart·Ivan Furtado·beaten 2 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
Race time
1m 43.06s+1.56s vs std

Slightly slow — minor pace variance, nothing to read into.

In-running (Welbury (GB))

“Went in front early - surrendered the advantage after a furlong - soon sat in behind the pace group - moved back to the front over 1f out - quickened clear in the final furlong and stayed on top all the way to the line”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →
Each-way56.5/100 rating
Welbury
6.60Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Welbury

Daniel Tudhope · Edward Bethell · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 56.5 · +6.8 clear of next best (49.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    15d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    67strong
    Last 6: 5-1-2-2-4
  • Ratings50% weight
    49below average
    OR 74
  • Trainer20% weight
    43below average
    Edward Bethell: 5/30 winners last 14d (17%)
MarketBest price 6.60 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Pontefract 1m

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.29).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.29
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.85
High (8–10)
IV 0.83

Today: Welbury (draw 1) and Harswell Ruby (draw 2) get the bias; Wetsand (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 69 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
18
Welbury
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Edward Bethell · draw 1
3yo · G · grp
51224
7456.5
3/1J·4.00
SP
24
Harswell Ruby
J: Joanna Mason · T: Roger Fell · draw 2
4yo · F · bp
154645
7049.8
3/1J·4.00
SP
31
Sailthisshipalone
J: Jason Hart · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 6
5yo · G · btp
71439
7541.8
9/2·5.50
SP
43
Rajapour
J: Mark Winn · T: David O'Meara · draw 5
6yo · G · chtp
243369
7243.4
11/1·12.00
SP
59
Mount King
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 8
6yo · G · chtp
37886
6240.1
33/1·34.00
SP
67
Wetsand
J: Clifford Lee · T: James Owen · draw 9
3yo · F · bpFT P
77587
7544.3
18/1·19.00
SP
72
Flying Fletcher
J: Ethan Tindall(5) · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 4
5yo · G · gr
385743
7346.6
13/2·7.50
SP
810
Clonquest
J: Connor Beasley · T: David & Nicola Barron · draw 3
3yo · C · bhFT H
523
7046.5
11/2·6.50
SP
95
War Howl
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Ben Haslam · draw 10
4yo · G · br
990000
6937.2
33/1·34.00
SP
——
Star Banner
J: Rowan Scott · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 7
3yo · C · ch
363
7549.3—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:18 Pontefract on 7 July 2026?

Welbury (GB) won the 16:18 Pontefract at SP 4.00. Ridden by Daniel Tudhope. Trained by Edward Bethell.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:18 Pontefract?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Welbury, won the race (AI score 56.5).

What were the placings in the 16:18 Pontefract?

Top finishers: 1. Welbury (GB) (4.00), 2. Harswell Ruby (IRE) (4.00), 3. Sailthisshipalone (GB) (5.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:18 Pontefract?

The winning time was 1m 43.06s, 1.56s slower than standard.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org