Who won the 14:35 Carlisle on 9 July 2026?
Celestia (GB) won the 14:35 Carlisle at SP 3.50. Ridden by Mark Winn. Trained by Harry Charlton.
14:35 Carlisle
Molson Coors EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)
7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £7,020 · Thursday, 9 July 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stCelestia (GB)Mark Winn·Harry Charlton5/2·3.50SP
- 2ndRogue Passion (IRE)Oisin Orr·Edward Bethell·beaten 0.1 lengths9/4F·3.25SP
- 3rdPequenita (GB)Paul Mulrennan·Andrew Balding·beaten 5.5 lengths4/1·5.00SP
Race time
1m 26.81s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Celestia (GB))
“settled at the rear early - began closing 2f out - driven to the front over the final furlong - came under prolonged pressure inside the final furlong but held on by the narrowest of margins”
AI top-rated Mohaymenah (score 56.7) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Why the model rates this top
Mohaymenah
Kaiya Fraser · Harry Eustace · 2yo
Top-rated of 5
score 56.7 · +28.2 clear of next best (28.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong41d since last run (fresh)
- Form20% weight67strongLast 6: 4-2
- Ratings50% weight57averageOR 85 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight33weakHarry Eustace: 2/15 winners last 14d (13%)
MarketBest price 3.10 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Carlisle 7f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).
Low (1–2)
IV 1.00
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.83
High (5–5)
IV 1.16
Today: Harlequin Gift (draw 5) gets the bias; Mohaymenah (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 96 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Mark Winn · T: Harry Charlton · draw 1 2yo · F · ch | 3 | — | 28.5 | 5/2·3.50 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Oisin Orr · T: Edward Bethell · draw 3 2yo · F · b | 4 | — | 23.5 | 9/4F·3.25 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Andrew Balding · draw 2 2yo · F · b | 4 | — | 26.0 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Harry Eustace · draw 4 2yo · F · b | 42 | 85 | 56.7 | 5/2·3.50 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 5 2yo · F · b | 7 | — | 19.0 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:35 Carlisle?
No — the AI top pick (Mohaymenah) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 14:35 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. Celestia (GB) (3.50), 2. Rogue Passion (IRE) (3.25), 3. Pequenita (GB) (5.00).
What was the winning time for the 14:35 Carlisle?
The winning time was 1m 26.81s.
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