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RacingAlpha

14:00 Carlisle

Racing TV Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

1m · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £5,400 · Thursday, 9 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 11/8F·2.38
  1. 1st
    Wid (IRE)AI top pick · 27.9
    Jason Hart·Ralph Beckett
    11/8F·2.38
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Bella Angelina (GB)
    Paul Mulrennan·Harry Charlton·beaten 1 length
    13/8·2.62
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Leopards Rock (GB)
    Oisin Orr·Edward Bethell·beaten 3.25 lengths
    8/1·9.00
    SP
Race time
1m 38.66s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Wid (IRE))

raced minus a front plate and led throughout - roused for effort 2f out - under continued pressure over 1f out - edged right and stayed on strongly inside the final furlong

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.38 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Wid

Jason Hart · Ralph Beckett · 3yo

Top-rated of 6
score 27.9 · +0.9 clear of next best (27.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    16d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    57average
    Last 6: 7-2
  • Trainer20% weight
    33weak
    Ralph Beckett: 7/52 winners last 14d (13%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 2.60 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Carlisle 1m

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–2)
IV 1.00
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.83
High (5–6)
IV 1.16

Today: Wid (draw 6) and Blairtum Night (draw 5) get the bias; Bella Angelina (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 96 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
J: Jason Hart · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 6
3yo · F · b
72
27.9
11/8F·2.38
SP
25
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Harry Charlton · draw 3
3yo · F · b
3
27.0
13/8·2.62
SP
33
J: Oisin Orr · T: Edward Bethell · draw 1
3yo · G · b
32
25.9
8/1·9.00
SP
44
J: David Nolan · T: Joey Ramsden · draw 4
3yo · G · b
2
25.6
9/2·5.50
SP
52
J: Jack Garritty · T: Mark Walford · draw 2
4yo · G · gr
7
15.0
125/1·126.00
SP
61
J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Linda Perratt · draw 5
3yo · G · b
8
6.5
200/1·201.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:00 Carlisle on 9 July 2026?

Wid (IRE) won the 14:00 Carlisle at SP 2.38. Ridden by Jason Hart. Trained by Ralph Beckett.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:00 Carlisle?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Wid, won the race (AI score 27.9).

What were the placings in the 14:00 Carlisle?

Top finishers: 1. Wid (IRE) (2.38), 2. Bella Angelina (GB) (2.62), 3. Leopards Rock (GB) (9.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:00 Carlisle?

The winning time was 1m 38.66s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org