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16:55

Carlisle

Great Britain

Dalston 'Confined' Handicap

Thursday, 9 July 2026

7f·Flat·Class 5·Good To Firm·10 runners·£4,187
Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Homestrait (IRE)
    Cam Hardie·Brian Ellison
    7/1·8.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Supreme Clarets (IRE)
    Warren Fentiman·Richard & Peter Fahey·beaten 0.3 lengths
    10/3·4.33
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Black Storm (IRE)
    Jason Hart·Katie Scott·beaten 0.3 lengths
    2/1F·3.00
    SP
Race time
1m 25.45s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Homestrait (IRE))

sat handy behind the pace - asked for effort 2f out - closing ground 1f out - disputing the advantage inside the last - hit the front with 50 yards to run - stayed on strongly to prevail

Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Selections by model

Head-to-head dashboard →
v1.048.9/100 rating
Albeseeingyer
6.20Betfair Exchange· informational only

Top-rated, but filter rejects this race

v1.1
No pick

Race outside the segment-edge filter

Each-way48.9/100 rating
Albeseeingyer
6.20Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Albeseeingyer

Oisin Orr · Steph Hollinshead · 7yo

48.9/100
+3.1 vs next best (45.7)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    24d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    44below average
    OR 66
  • Trainer20% weight
    43below average
    Steph Hollinshead: 2/12 winners last 14d (17%)
  • Form20% weight
    42below average
    Last 6: 0-2-5-6-3
MarketBest price 6.20 (Betfair Exchange) — 2nd favourite. AI sees slight value vs consensus.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Runners

Pos#DrHorseJockey / TrainerFormWtORRPRTSAISP
313
5yo · G · br
04425
10-016845.3
2/1F·3.00
SP
727
4yo · G · b
94287
9-136637.9
10/1·11.00
SP
149
3yo · F · bp
574223
9-097045.3
7/1·8.00
SP
5510
8yo · G · b
99759
9-086138.2
12/1·13.00
SP
661
3yo · G · b
55498
9-086934.0
14/1·15.00
SP
874
3yo · G · chpFT P
848937
9-086940.7
14/1·15.00
SP
4812
4yo · G · bp
562553
9-086145.7
7/1·8.00
SP
998
3yo · G · b
2640
9-066737.4
66/1·67.00
SP
10105
3yo · F · b
94466
9-066741.3
12/1·13.00
SP
21111
3yo · G · ch
67492
9-046544.1
10/3·4.33
SP
2
3yo · G · b
64390
9-046535.4
6
7yo · M · b
02563
9-136648.9

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:55 Carlisle on 9 July 2026?

Homestrait (IRE) won the 16:55 Carlisle at SP 8.00. Ridden by Cam Hardie. Trained by Brian Ellison.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:55 Carlisle?

No — the AI top pick (Albeseeingyer) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 16:55 Carlisle?

Top finishers: 1. Homestrait (IRE) (8.00), 2. Supreme Clarets (IRE) (4.33), 3. Black Storm (IRE) (3.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:55 Carlisle?

The winning time was 1m 25.45s.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

Black Storm heads our ratings for this Class 5 seven-furlong contest at Carlisle on good going, rated seven points clear of the next-best across a competitive twelve-runner field. Homestrait, Judicature and Ecclefechan rate closely bunched behind him and represent the main threats to our selection. The rest of the field is more workmanlike on these figures, and confidence in Black Storm is medium rather than a certainty. He remains our pick on the strength of his rating advantage.

Racing Post pick: Black Storm

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org