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RacingAlpha

17:40 Doncaster

Betfred Follow Us On X Amateur Jockeys' Handicap

5½f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 10 runners · £4,172 · Thursday, 9 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 8th
  1. 1st
    Dorney Lake (GB)
    Miss Pippa Brown·Liam Bailey
    11/1·12.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Bayraat (GB)
    Mr Eireann Cagney·Tom Tate·beaten .75 lengths
    4/1J·5.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Spirit Of Applause (GB)
    Mr Thomas Easterby·Tim Easterby·beaten 0.2 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
Race time
1m 6.84s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Dorney Lake (GB))

racing in the pack early - moved up 2f out - driven to the front over 1f out - drifted left inside the final furlong - ran on well to score

AI top-rated Powernap (score 50.8) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way50.8/100 rating
Powernap
4.70Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Dicko The Legend

This Class 5 sprint at Doncaster sees ten runners line up over six furlongs on good to firm, and it looks a competitive affair. Koffee And Kale sits on top of our figures on a rating of 77 and cannot be ignored, while Dorney Lake and Spirit Of Applause both look leading dangers on the same book. We're siding with Dicko The Legend, however, whose progressive profile wins out even without matching the top rating on paper, and he's our selection despite low confidence in such an open race.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Powernap

Miss Venetia Thompson(7) · Jessica Bedi · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 50.8 · +1.0 clear of next best (49.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    28d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    74strong
    Last 6: 0-5-2-2-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    38below average
    OR 57
  • Trainer20% weight
    35small sample (n=7)
    Jessica Bedi: 1/7 winners last 14d (14%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 4.70 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Doncaster 5½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 0.96
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.93
High (9–11)
IV 1.11

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 155 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
16
J: Miss Pippa Brown(3) · T: Liam Bailey · draw 9
5yo · G · bt
356857
6442.2
11/1·12.00
SP
28
J: Mr Eireann Cagney · T: Tom Tate · draw 4
10yo · G · b
05221
5743.8
4/1J·5.00
SP
33
6yo · G · bp
43343
6849.2
9/2·5.50
SP
42
J: Miss Amy Collier · T: Liam Bailey · draw 6
6yo · G · b
752963
6949.0
4/1J·5.00
SP
54
7yo · M · b
703985
6649.8
16/1·17.00
SP
69
J: Mr Frederick Tett · T: Scott Dixon · draw 2
3yo · G · bp
418210
6039.4
16/1·17.00
SP
77
3yo · G · bpFT P
13275
6745.2
22/1·23.00
SP
811
3yo · F · bt
05221
5750.8
15/2·8.50
SP
95
4yo · G · chb
42454
6449.4
11/1·12.00
SP
1010
3yo · G · b
79731
5438.8
5/1·6.00
SP
J: Mr Henry Callan · T: Jack Morland · draw 8
3yo · F · bp
584261
7041.7

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:40 Doncaster on 9 July 2026?

Dorney Lake (GB) won the 17:40 Doncaster at SP 12.00. Ridden by Miss Pippa Brown. Trained by Liam Bailey.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:40 Doncaster?

No — the AI top pick (Powernap) finished 8.

What were the placings in the 17:40 Doncaster?

Top finishers: 1. Dorney Lake (GB) (12.00), 2. Bayraat (GB) (5.00), 3. Spirit Of Applause (GB) (5.50).

What was the winning time for the 17:40 Doncaster?

The winning time was 1m 6.84s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org