18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

14:25 Newmarket

Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes (Sponsored By Ultimate Provence) (Fillies' Group 2)

6f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £70,888 · Friday, 10 July 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Senorita Bonita (IRE)
    Oisin Murphy·Simon & Ed Crisford
    9/4·3.25
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Libertango (IRE)AI top pick · 75.3
    Billy Loughnane·George Boughey·beaten .75 lengths
    10/11F·1.91
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Alwaysanangel (IRE)
    Dylan Browne McMonagle·Joseph Patrick O'Brien·beaten 0.1 lengths
    14/1·15.00
    SP
Race time
1m 11.78s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Senorita Bonita (IRE))

“raced freely early - up with the front group - driven with a furlong left - kept finding more and edged left to hit the front close home”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.91 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Libertango

Libertango tops our figures on 112, a clear margin over this field, and is a confident selection after two wins from her last two starts. Senorita Bonita (103) and Ruby Moon (99) both arrive with recent form to trouble her, while Jolivette (96) cannot be dismissed either given the depth of quality behind the selection. Confidence in the vote is low given how tightly this trio are stacked behind her, but on ratings alone Libertango remains the one to be knocked off her perch.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Libertango

Billy Loughnane · George Boughey · 2yo

Top-rated of 8
score 75.3 · +8.6 clear of next best (66.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    100very strong
    Last 6: 1-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    73strong
    OR 109 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    45below average
    George Boughey: 6/33 winners last 14d (18%)
MarketBest price 1.72 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.95
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.80
High (7–8)
IV 1.24

Today: Jolivette (draw 7) and Etonnante (draw 8) get the bias; Libertango (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 92 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
Senorita Bonita
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 1
2yo · F · ch
12
9866.7
9/4·3.25
SP
25
Libertango
J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 6
2yo · F · b
11
10975.3
10/11F·1.91
SP
32
Alwaysanangel
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 5
2yo · F · bt
1
—34.5
14/1·15.00
SP
46
Ruby Moon
J: Ryan Moore · T: Richard & Peter Fahey · draw 4
2yo · F · b
1
—35.0
20/1·21.00
SP
54
Jolivette
J: Colin Keane · T: Andrew Balding · draw 7
2yo · F · b
19
8554.8
12/1·13.00
SP
61
Acclamation Star
J: Marco Ghiani · T: James Owen · draw 3
2yo · F · b
10
8352.8
50/1·51.00
SP
73
Etonnante
J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 8
2yo · F · gr
1
—35.0
10/1·11.00
SP
88
Troublesome Guest
J: David Egan · T: George Margarson · draw 2
2yo · F · b
30
—14.0
100/1·101.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:25 Newmarket on 10 July 2026?

Senorita Bonita (IRE) won the 14:25 Newmarket at SP 3.25. Ridden by Oisin Murphy. Trained by Simon & Ed Crisford.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:25 Newmarket?

No — the AI top pick (Libertango) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 14:25 Newmarket?

Top finishers: 1. Senorita Bonita (IRE) (3.25), 2. Libertango (IRE) (1.91), 3. Alwaysanangel (IRE) (15.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:25 Newmarket?

The winning time was 1m 11.78s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org